Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1221ccbec51e8b61102875cbd9208ec86b95607330a19d534b2e0157dce8da22

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Colombiaof Colombia, Costa Rica
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,743 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Colombia	65c	5,369$3,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,859.02	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Costa Rica	73c	2,854$2,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,094.99	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	-19.9wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Costa Rica	21c	1,575$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.68	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Costa Rica	31c	1,235$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.93	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Colombia	64c	1,147$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.68	93	57%53 W · 40 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Costa Rica	25c	1,141$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.33	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Colombia	65c	1,000$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.21	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Costa Rica	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Colombia	69c	863.1$596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.56	112	30.4%34 W · 78 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Colombia	70c	754.73$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.73	140	61.4%86 W · 54 L	+8.2wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Colombia	67c	746.27$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.27	304	65.1%198 W · 106 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Costa Rica	52c	588.29$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.91	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Costa Rica	31c	556.75$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.52	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Colombia	66c	550.25$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.08	97	70.1%68 W · 29 L	+12.0wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Costa Rica	33c	536$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.88	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Colombia	65c	508.4$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.36	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Costa Rica	49c	454.75$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.2	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Costa Rica	32c	299.99$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colombia	60c	294.27$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.15	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Costa Rica	32c	284.98$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.25	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Costa Rica	31c	230.01$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.87	815	54.8%447 W · 368 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05bc…f3ebbacked Costa Rica	34c	225.79$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.44	87	34.5%30 W · 57 L	-7.4wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Colombia	71c	199.99$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Costa Rica	38c	181.01$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.76	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Costa Rica	30c	180$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.4	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Costa Rica	34c	170.29$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.9	203	30.5%62 W · 141 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Costa Rica	29c	169.54$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Costa Rica	32c	156.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	69	58%40 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9883…1d31backed Costa Rica	32c	151.52$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.49	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Costa Rica	31c	149.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Colombia	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	291	38.5%112 W · 179 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Costa Rica	42c	144$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.78	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Colombia	71c	141.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.27	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Costa Rica	32c	125.04$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.21	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Costa Rica	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Colombia	68c	117.06$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.46	315	54.6%172 W · 143 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Costa Rica	31c	106.06$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Colombia	67c	104.48$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.48	187	69.5%130 W · 57 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Costa Rica	16c	103.76$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.17	444	35.4%157 W · 287 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Costa Rica	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	160	40.6%65 W · 95 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Costa Rica	34c	99.96$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.99	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Costa Rica	11c	98.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	239	40.6%97 W · 142 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Colombia	67c	90.22$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.22	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Colombia	44c	82.23$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.03	220	52.3%115 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Costa Rica	32c	80.5$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.92	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Colombia	61c	78.95$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.61	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9906…7d46backed Costa Rica	31c	78.31$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.42	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Colombia	48c	66.52$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.59	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Colombia	71c	64.79$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.79	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64c3…75abbacked Colombia	71c	63.38$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.38	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4844…8ddabacked Costa Rica	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Costa Rica	30c	60$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	237	32.1%76 W · 161 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Costa Rica	31c	57.82$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.16	360	45.3%163 W · 197 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Colombia	71c	56.34$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.34	63	73%46 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	74cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Costa Rica	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	356	19.4%69 W · 287 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Costa Rica	26c	51.08$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.49	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Costa Rica	30c	50.58$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.25	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdecb…e058backed Colombia	70c	50.18$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.28	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Colombia	57c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	389	60.7%236 W · 153 L	+24.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Costa Rica	30c	49.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.71	146	47.3%69 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Colombia	72c	48.61$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.61	95	63.2%60 W · 35 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b76…de8abacked Colombia	66c	48$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.32	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Colombia	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	510	45.3%231 W · 279 L	+21.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Costa Rica	32c	43.47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	235	52.8%124 W · 111 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Costa Rica	25c	43.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	508	50%254 W · 254 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Costa Rica	32c	41.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.62	311	49.5%154 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Colombia	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	225	43.1%97 W · 128 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Colombia	55c	36.05$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.06	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Costa Rica	45c	36$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Colombia	55c	36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	407	36.6%149 W · 258 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Colombia	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	268	35.4%95 W · 173 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…6468backed Colombia	69c	33.33$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.33	54	64.8%35 W · 19 L	+6.0wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Colombia	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	200	47%94 W · 106 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd3…14b2backed Colombia	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46f…0e0fbacked Colombia	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	162	62.3%101 W · 61 L	+10.9wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Colombia	59c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.3	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	+7.2wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b37…0d27backed Costa Rica	36c	29.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Colombia	71c	28.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.25	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Colombia	55c	28$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Colombia	66c	26$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.84	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Colombia	77c	25.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.85	233	63.5%148 W · 85 L	+19.8wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Colombia	76c	22.34$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.34	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa76b…94babacked Colombia	65c	22.15$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bd…30a1backed Colombia	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	75	62.7%47 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f9f…da7bbacked Colombia	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb457…ae09backed Costa Rica	70c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Colombia (-1.5)this page
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 0.5Over won
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5Over won
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5Over won
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5Over won
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5Under won
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Costa Rica won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event