TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,818

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes24c22,295$5,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,419.661,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c9,024$6,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.565,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes28c3,345$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No79c1,822$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.2719055.3%105 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No79c1,813$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.4914058.6%82 W · 58 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No79c1,705$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.1322656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No76c1,488$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.665567.3%37 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes39c1,264$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.864658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No78c1,230$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.0839058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c1,190$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.261,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No77c1,165$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.8414557.2%83 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Yes42c1,032$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes33c999.88$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.961625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes36c856.72$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.255240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No71c609.16$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6762652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No62c600$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23123347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No70c574.46$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6416356.4%92 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No70c571.87$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.115358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No67c564.26$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.712763%17 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes40c500.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011241.1%46 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No68c474.34$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.443574.3%26 W · 9 L+7.3wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+60.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No68c474.34$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.443375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed No68c474.34$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.448100%8 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+95%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No68c449.67$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.537466.2%49 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked No68c420$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.41154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Yes24c416.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes40c347.01$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3449044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No68c329.48$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5711654.3%63 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No67c329.32$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.055667.9%38 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No59c316.49$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.581,11649.5%552 W · 564 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No67c304.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.36361.9%39 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11721941.6%91 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11419158.6%112 W · 79 L+19.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No59c292.97$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0693446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed No68c286.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.41580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No67c278$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.998558.8%50 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes27c275.37$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4842725.8%110 W · 317 L-34.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c265.12$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2784347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No66c228.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.874663%29 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x618b…014dbacked Yes40c225$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c196.69$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1989955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes34c175$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.52766.7%18 W · 9 L+7.6wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+87.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No78c171.6$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9116759.9%100 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c168$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6853148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No66c157.68$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.549859.2%58 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No66c154.03$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7447860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes41c153.9$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.13043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No66c153.76$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.874362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No68c139.64$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.346467.2%43 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed No66c133.36$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.56875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No66c117.35$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.299056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No66c116.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.979552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked No66c116.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.972763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed No75c114.43$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.32254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No65c108.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4582053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes19c105.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206650%33 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes41c101.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes21c101$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.523542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No65c86.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.022878.6%22 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+54.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked No65c76.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.472548%12 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes36c72.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.99265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked No67c66.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.811080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba2…f46bbacked No67c66.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.81977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes26c65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8523845.8%109 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked No74c61.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.312070%14 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd573…f99ebacked Yes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes34c59.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1346422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes31c58.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1873850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No59c51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.911,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No65c38.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5910653.8%57 W · 49 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No65c38.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.239554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed No65c38.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.231573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+42.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed No66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Yes34c35.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No74c24.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3415971.1%113 W · 46 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bd…e48fbacked No67c20.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.79714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-78.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked No79c20.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.477056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad78…678cbacked No78c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.183683.3%30 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick78cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked No78c16.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.672263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8267…f7b7backed No66c15.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed No75c15.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.76875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.