Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duke Blue Devils vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6307f7f433833bac4afd8625e6938f65dc6fde80b301a8e7e6997765debda2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 13,859$6,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,825.77 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 7,722$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.98 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 53c | 3,762$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.11 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Under | 49c | 3,582$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.82 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 3,380$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.56 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.33 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 48c | 1,202$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.21 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 48c | 555$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 533.21$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.01 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 53c | 486.35$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.25 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 48c | 300.42$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 50c | 245.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Under | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 181.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.61 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 79.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Under | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 48.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Over | 48c | 45.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 148.5this page
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Virginia Tech HokiesDuke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)Duke Blue Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.