Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4605343acd249c9a6dfac65d79452e5d9fd0a40e43ea8bb4b87a2c556f427f91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,130 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 5,589$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 50c | 5,171$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.13 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 48c | 1,446$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.71 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,157$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.17 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec4…b8e5backed Over | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Over | 52c | 970.45$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.64 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under | 48c | 937.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.54 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 51c | 932.65$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.65 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 52c | 922.65$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.78 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 723.49$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.45 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Over | 52c | 467.46$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.08 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Over | 51c | 467$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.17 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…536fbacked Over | 52c | 285.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 207.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.01 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…c3ffbacked Under | 50c | 148.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Under | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 52c | 76.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Over | 52c | 70.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Over | 50c | 63.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…d9f6backed Over | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Under | 25c | 51.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Over | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 50c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 49c | 39.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Over | 52c | 20.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 146.5this page
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-2.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-3.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-4.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska CornhuskersNebraska Cornhuskers won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 147.5Under won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.