Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ccbf04fe11af333a4979f9da218452abf3010fb4b90df14253323e4e460047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norfolk State Spartansof Norfolk State Spartans, Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Norfolk State Spartans | 52c | 2,130$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.76 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 49c | 1,600$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.65 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 51c | 1,353$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.97 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Norfolk State Spartans | 49c | 1,154$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 48c | 361$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 50c | 310.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.48 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 236$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 47c | 182.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 165.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 47c | 138.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Norfolk State Spartans | 50c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Norfolk State Spartans | 60c | 49.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 48c | 30.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Norfolk State Spartans | 52c | 26.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…7269backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 50c | 22.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Norfolk State Spartans | 50c | 20.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Norfolk State Spartans | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-1.5)this page
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Maryland Eastern Shore HawksNorfolk State Spartans won
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks: O/U 135.5Over won
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks: O/U 136.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.