TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Suns: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Sunsof Hornets, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,603 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets60c1,944$1,170 inLost-$1,169.735,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea80…7296backed Suns27c1,500$400 inWon+$1,100316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hornets65c1,226$798 inLost-$798.2226353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Suns35c1,107$390 inWon+$717.587848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Suns37c699.93$259 inWon+$440.954367.4%29 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hornets63c647.28$408 inLost-$407.791,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d7…2b16backed Suns40c331.98$133 inWon+$199.191844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf756…59c2backed Hornets63c220.46$139 inLost-$138.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf5e…980cbacked Hornets63c199.81$126 inLost-$125.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns37c158.91$59 inWon+$100.122,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Suns42c95.24$40 inWon+$55.2429040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…ed19backed Hornets60c86.94$52 inLost-$52.161346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb342…cc01backed Hornets60c85.36$51 inLost-$51.221741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hornets64c81.76$52 inLost-$51.951,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Suns35c80$28 inWon+$5226545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5886…1ab8backed Hornets60c79.92$48 inLost-$47.951546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ce…dd2ebacked Hornets60c79.03$47 inLost-$47.421566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66f3…2bc6backed Hornets60c40.56$24 inLost-$24.371323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-58.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Hornets56c35.84$20 inLost-$20.2437845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Suns43c34.88$15 inWon+$19.889334.4%32 W · 61 L-11.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x09c0…17eebacked Hornets59c20$12 inLost-$11.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44e4…f624backed Hornets61c19.73$12 inLost-$12.038048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…7186backed Hornets63c19.05$12 inLost-$122272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc668…a28ebacked Hornets63c19.05$12 inLost-$122766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.