Lol · resolved market

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e0b928a83b69849130fe4b9fe7563245afa55dbbb8c564858a8735fd1284568

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, Leviatan Esports
Resolved: Feb 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $52,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $52,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,818 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1341…0853backed Leviatan Esports	21c	17,964$3,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,802.12	1,827	45.6%834 W · 993 L	+26.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed FURIA Esports	80c	10,830$8,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,165.94	409	70.2%287 W · 122 L	+30.9wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe082…bf4dbacked FURIA Esports	79c	9,654$7,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,027.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbca…3b1ebacked Leviatan Esports	21c	9,000$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,850	105	35.2%37 W · 68 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adb…50bcbacked Leviatan Esports	6c	4,577$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.13	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed FURIA Esports	79c	3,915$3,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$822.11	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed FURIA Esports	79c	3,794$2,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.74	118	33.9%40 W · 78 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Leviatan Esports	20c	2,600$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	119	36.1%43 W · 76 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Leviatan Esports	20c	2,439$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.88	414	33.6%139 W · 275 L	-30.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c34…05cfbacked Leviatan Esports	23c	2,000$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.5	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA Esports	78c	2,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	1,029	52.3%538 W · 491 L	+27.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Leviatan Esports	16c	1,520$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238	211	41.2%87 W · 124 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed FURIA Esports	79c	1,461$1,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.81	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Leviatan Esports	10c	1,158$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.25	121	37.2%45 W · 76 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed FURIA Esports	79c	700$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	2,178	53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L	+61.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…00ebbacked Leviatan Esports	12c	625.42$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Leviatan Esports	10c	610.61$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.86	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	-11.2wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Leviatan Esports	20c	551.3$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.26	409	59.2%242 W · 167 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Leviatan Esports	10c	534$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.72	269	40.5%109 W · 160 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x403f…2b6bbacked FURIA Esports	77c	527.68$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.93	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Leviatan Esports	19c	527.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.06	679	31.8%216 W · 463 L	-31.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed FURIA Esports	79c	500$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	1,802	51.2%923 W · 879 L	+53.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed FURIA Esports	78c	487$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.14	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…a754backed Leviatan Esports	12c	417.31$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	353	23.2%82 W · 271 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa794…1361backed Leviatan Esports	22c	365.32$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.37	106	24.5%26 W · 80 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Leviatan Esports	18c	300.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.04	993	38.6%383 W · 610 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Leviatan Esports	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Leviatan Esports	6c	256$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.69	222	34.7%77 W · 145 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Leviatan Esports	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	109	31.2%34 W · 75 L	-9.2wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Leviatan Esports	14c	231.53$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1,730	29.5%510 W · 1,220 L	-123.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Leviatan Esports	7c	225.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	1,025	39.6%406 W · 619 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Leviatan Esports	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	474	44.1%209 W · 265 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked FURIA Esports	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2610…972ebacked Leviatan Esports	11c	178.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	11%8 W · 65 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Leviatan Esports	23c	176.88$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	225	45.8%103 W · 122 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA Esports	79c	172.1$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.68	2,836	41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L	-12.9wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9608…7b7ebacked Leviatan Esports	23c	165$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.95	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	30cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed FURIA Esports	78c	165$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.85	185	49.7%92 W · 93 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed FURIA Esports	76c	134.51$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.72	183	50.8%93 W · 90 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6699…af05backed Leviatan Esports	23c	125$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.75	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed FURIA Esports	78c	122.18$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.88	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Leviatan Esports	11c	114$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	276	36.2%100 W · 176 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x721c…2433backed Leviatan Esports	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed FURIA Esports	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	360	48.9%176 W · 184 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f46…d6e6backed FURIA Esports	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe991…f3f0backed Leviatan Esports	23c	93$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.39	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfe…ec2bbacked Leviatan Esports	23c	88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.24	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b1…d58ebacked FURIA Esports	77c	80$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf624…d3b4backed Leviatan Esports	23c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-39%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed Leviatan Esports	20c	70$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	95	29.5%28 W · 67 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked Leviatan Esports	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	586	49.8%292 W · 294 L	+15.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…ee8dbacked FURIA Esports	77c	65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.95	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	69cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c2…7b27backed FURIA Esports	77c	65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.95	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	71cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Leviatan Esports	20c	60$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,241	34.7%431 W · 810 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97df…ac19backed FURIA Esports	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e87…5e74backed FURIA Esports	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.5wins	-0.36per pick	64cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Leviatan Esports	23c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	276	32.6%90 W · 186 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cbc…5dfcbacked FURIA Esports	80c	60$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	47	70.2%33 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x473b…a5a0backed Leviatan Esports	23c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Leviatan Esports	21c	59.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	573	33%189 W · 384 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeba6…e84cbacked FURIA Esports	78c	57.32$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.61	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked FURIA Esports	76c	55$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	230	57%131 W · 99 L	+13.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed FURIA Esports	80c	55$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	112	67.9%76 W · 36 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Leviatan Esports	20c	54.3$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.86	108	23.1%25 W · 83 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9c0…c6f9backed FURIA Esports	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked FURIA Esports	79c	49.37$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.37	256	40.6%104 W · 152 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc334…1c20backed FURIA Esports	77c	48$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.04	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	69cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6198…476bbacked FURIA Esports	77c	45$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.35	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f04…22c2backed FURIA Esports	77c	45$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.35	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…8a70backed FURIA Esports	77c	43$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.89	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	73cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe566…4943backed FURIA Esports	78c	35.98$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed FURIA Esports	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.15	89	62.9%56 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b7…d976backed FURIA Esports	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	64	64.1%41 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed FURIA Esports	77c	23.51$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.41	140	38.6%54 W · 86 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5820…007bbacked FURIA Esports	80c	18.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	76cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x00d6…fad1backed FURIA Esports	80c	18.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	75cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsthis page
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event