Lol · resolved market
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48bbb92a672277118743378266df3be43bd2a54d32aed3b5ba83f1be11ce602b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, Leviatan Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed FURIA Esports | 75c | 16,767$12,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,253.52 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Leviatan Esports | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked FURIA Esports | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Leviatan Esports | 1c | 4,858$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Leviatan Esports | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Leviatan Esports | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed FURIA Esports | 74c | 1,410$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Leviatan Esports | 24c | 1,177$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.52 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Leviatan Esports | 11c | 1,055$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Leviatan Esports | 26c | 1,045$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.7 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Leviatan Esports | 24c | 987.9$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked FURIA Esports | 76c | 930$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.6 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…ebf0backed FURIA Esports | 77c | 800$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed Leviatan Esports | 20c | 708.41$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Leviatan Esports | 24c | 610.73$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Leviatan Esports | 27c | 459.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Leviatan Esports | 26c | 440.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Leviatan Esports | 9c | 338.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…00ebbacked Leviatan Esports | 31c | 325.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…6b57backed FURIA Esports | 29c | 296.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 27cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed FURIA Esports | 76c | 253.17$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 396 | 63.4%251 W · 145 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed FURIA Esports | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Leviatan Esports | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafda…0fccbacked FURIA Esports | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 179.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Leviatan Esports | 29c | 173.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…42abbacked FURIA Esports | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed FURIA Esports | 76c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Leviatan Esports | 30c | 125.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e1babacked FURIA Esports | 33c | 120$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 28cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 110.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…d9d0backed FURIA Esports | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed FURIA Esports | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Leviatan Esports | 19c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…b281backed Leviatan Esports | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Leviatan Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed FURIA Esports | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Cup PlayoffsFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.