NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0029d3623355e045df5d0473237305c0ead036a1812d6cd508e6db4c509fe4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Timberwolves, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 46c | 29,142$13,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,453.87 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Pelicans | 54c | 13,539$7,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,227.89 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 49c | 12,132$5,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,208.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Pelicans | 53c | 10,189$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,788.68 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 9,408$4,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,441.35 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 53c | 6,279$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 53c | 4,861$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,699$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.31 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,961$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.01 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,530$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pelicans | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,672$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 2,573$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.67 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,140$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.4 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,081$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.97 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,672$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.12 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,331$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.48 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,172$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.76 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Pelicans | 54c | 1,121$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.53 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 54c | 1,015$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Timberwolves | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Pelicans | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Pelicans | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Timberwolves | 47c | 332.28$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.17 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 314.08$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4adb…bca7backed Timberwolves | 48c | 267.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 255.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pelicans | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133e…68cdbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 238.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 50c | 227.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Timberwolves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pelicans | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Pelicans | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Timberwolves | 46c | 195.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 67c | 188.72$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Timberwolves | 52c | 185$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Timberwolves | 45c | 169.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Pelicans | 52c | 166.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pelicans | 52c | 165.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 53c | 164$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Pelicans | 55c | 159.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans | 52c | 148.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 31c | 113.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Pelicans | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 95.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Timberwolves | 47c | 91.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Timberwolves | 50c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 88.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Timberwolves | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 50c | 78.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Pelicans | 51c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 49c | 58.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1adfbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…ca01backed Pelicans | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pelicans | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Timberwolves | 48c | 43.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 40.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…140cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Timberwolves | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Pelicans | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Pelicans | 53c | 36.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Timberwolves | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc4…c0adbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 31.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Timberwolves | 46c | 28.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…6cadbacked Pelicans | 52c | 25.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Pelicans | 53c | 24.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Timberwolves | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pelicans | 68c | 21.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pelicans | 52c | 20.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Pelicans | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.