F1 · resolved market
Will Williams finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa46ecce1b1e08628e08257e7915d397a62264d8757e07143b0020d51ca0908ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 11,105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked Yes | 38c | 307.19$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 7c | 266.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…03f2backed Yes | 50c | 229.82$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…1d92backed Yes | 60c | 165.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a7…9ac3backed Yes | 68c | 146.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 55c | 99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…92cebacked Yes | 42c | 71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…8a4dbacked Yes | 43c | 57.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked No | 42c | 46.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 38c | 36.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +167.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…ca34backed Yes | 64c | 31.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…1b67backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +234.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…7847backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Williams finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?this page
- Will Aston Martin finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?No won
- Will Haas finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?No won
- Will Racing Bulls finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?No won
- Will Sauber finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.