Chess · resolved market
Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee693cad6a798aa30cfa53888ba7cf4a3f67b0dce75926a1ba8ea478787116ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 26c | 15,192$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,248.46 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 74c | 14,842$10,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,970.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 59c | 4,724$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked No | 43c | 3,752$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.6 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…7a13backed Yes | 35c | 2,586$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked No | 67c | 2,289$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.71 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 52c | 1,144$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.36 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked Yes | 24c | 903.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 46c | 837.87$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.76 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 30c | 781.33$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.33 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 46c | 707.28$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…489ebacked Yes | 56c | 705.87$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 18c | 600$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…ae6fbacked Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked No | 52c | 460.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…0f95backed No | 77c | 417.15$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…3bb2backed Yes | 25c | 401.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…72bdbacked Yes | 25c | 391.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad79…7abbbacked Yes | 34c | 369.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34dc…3cdcbacked No | 80c | 356.88$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c4…a6bebacked Yes | 31c | 354.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab98…0582backed Yes | 56c | 345.38$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 71c | 341.88$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.73 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 18c | 339.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.04 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 50c | 318.41$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed No | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…a728backed Yes | 23c | 265.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…558dbacked Yes | 65c | 235.58$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed7…8baebacked No | 70c | 230$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 32c | 214.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…6fd8backed Yes | 23c | 193.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +226.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…8447backed Yes | 40c | 189.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4933…1195backed Yes | 34c | 187.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +226.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 24c | 186.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed No | 77c | 177.83$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 166.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 49c | 162.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Yes | 21c | 162.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 25c | 161.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +303%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 42c | 152.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0c…3e1fbacked No | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 49c | 148.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…d823backed Yes | 27c | 145.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 70c | 145$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…da39backed Yes | 43c | 144.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed No | 78c | 128.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…55c3backed No | 78c | 128.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 52c | 125.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 24c | 111$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 40c | 105.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf200…28afbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…ce59backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b0…2554backed No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 65c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Yes | 25c | 81.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +285.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…203abacked Yes | 75c | 80.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 75c | 78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…2fc7backed Yes | 27c | 73.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…31b1backed No | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…7249backed No | 71c | 67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 47c | 65.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e52…78ddbacked No | 21c | 65.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…e0debacked Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b24…54acbacked No | 58c | 59.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d02…446abacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…104ebacked No | 45c | 55.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc421…724cbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 44c | 47.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +197.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 48c | 45.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…28bebacked Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +156.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f1…893bbacked Yes | 27c | 41.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 36c | 38.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked No | 54c | 37.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 79c | 37.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Yes | 50c | 37.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x536c…3f59backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…395fbacked Yes | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cee…a6dfbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 34c | 30.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -12.3wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…91dbbacked Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Yes | 72c | 26.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed No | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.