TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham win on 2024-12-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No14c5,803$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.3879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No57c5,021$2,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.145453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No73c4,805$3,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,502.6111657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes43c4,049$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.9368026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No10c2,737$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5937841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes41c2,619$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.3129643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed No58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1394…e426backed No60c984$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.41650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes42c799.98$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.997651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes45c674.66$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.325644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No4c648.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No57c627.53$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.6914659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes33c606$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.024339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No56c539.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28517945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes25c475$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.2525329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.559037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes74c450.13$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1325339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No12c440$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.816737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No58c394.17$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.6240254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Yes33c363.64$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.641827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes42c327.55$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5524630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked No71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.16137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No56c220.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.57968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No57c213.52$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.937967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No27c210.42$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4234251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1149150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No56c191.27$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8746660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes43c184.02$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.896838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No56c177$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4536259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b31…9d8cbacked No61c164.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes39c154.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.115825.9%15 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.55635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x541c…71a2backed Yes80c148.93$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes44c148.19$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1922932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x267a…425dbacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.68937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Yes45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.896556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe480…a9a4backed Yes43c81.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.651553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes25c77.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.137652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x010d…9f1dbacked No55c74.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1240%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4595…f766backed No56c67.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6729146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes45c58.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.294949%24 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.825242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a65…88d3backed No57c56.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d6…1c32backed Yes46c51.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.721216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-62.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5272…f0afbacked Yes43c51.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.163542.9%15 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4579…112ebacked Yes45c47.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3025…fccdbacked Yes44c47.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.454940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e2…6bb2backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0ff…d164backed Yes44c46.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4532737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75fc…df87backed No52c45.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a8…75e1backed Yes48c45.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa79c…36c6backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.444045%18 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83ec…0a71backed No56c43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.161471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No56c43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No59c42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe830…8080backed Yes46c41.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+170%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea55…522cbacked No56c41.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6473…950fbacked Yes44c40.55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa69d…79cdbacked No55c39.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd86…499fbacked Yes45c39.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7257…40b8backed Yes44c36.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a25…5987backed No56c35.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0e…1e02backed No57c34.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8819632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba64…3808backed Yes43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.882646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x695b…c8f4backed Yes41c34.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb021…a82fbacked No54c34.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.093545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd353…3fafbacked Yes40c33.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01f8…5afbbacked Yes42c32.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb773…4b3abacked Yes46c31.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac7b…f22abacked No59c30.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb9…044abacked Yes42c30.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2384…f5c0backed Yes46c30.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x898e…d4c5backed Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1872…1962backed No60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb288…4951backed Yes43c29.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5138…1d4dbacked Yes41c29.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.274454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db6…ec26backed Yes45c28.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbc…c621backed No59c28.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d2…f30fbacked Yes46c27.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5b…baf7backed Yes42c27.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8645…2f2abacked Yes45c26.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5714…30fdbacked Yes42c26.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f2…4cc0backed Yes42c26.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.975752.6%30 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6efc…ab7cbacked Yes46c25.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ab…76c4backed No54c25.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bea…b4b3backed No55c25.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x695c…d1c7backed Yes44c25.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c5…ac3ebacked No56c25.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…2128backed No57c22.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.