Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton win on 2024-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x033d937c36e9d0b67521ced1080c8d316e9e0f768d5d83a7a5f854545efebf8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed No | 72c | 3,678$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.31 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 27c | 2,832$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.38 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 23c | 266.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed No | 76c | 232.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 69c | 174.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 31c | 159.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…9d8cbacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 30c | 143.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 20c | 126.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…f21cbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 70c | 114$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfab9…60b2backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…baacbacked No | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…b609backed Yes | 31c | 83.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Yes | 30c | 82.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 31c | 78.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 57c | 66.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 70c | 44.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3130…a420backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…6dd5backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton win on 2024-12-26?this page
- Will Southampton vs. West Ham end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-12-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.