Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton vs. West Ham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x268c0c748f9dddf54503abb6529e38917ad17857e519559ba2e2eb3df511af57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 9c | 722.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 73c | 499.95$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 73c | 424.94$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.73 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 409.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 29c | 384.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 72c | 349.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 27c | 294.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…aa70backed Yes | 27c | 192.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 72c | 114.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 72c | 93.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…458dbacked No | 74c | 71.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…8b88backed No | 74c | 67.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…364bbacked No | 74c | 56.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 72c | 48.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 62c | 30.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 74c | 27.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…0a71backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 72c | 15.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton vs. West Ham end in a draw?this page
- Will Southampton win on 2024-12-26?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-12-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.