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Tennis · resolved market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Alina Korneeva vs Ella Seidel

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alina Korneevaof Alina Korneeva, Ella Seidel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Ella Seidel33c14,241$4,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,762.57,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alina Korneeva61c13,820$8,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,348.154,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ella Seidel39c6,249$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.254345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Ella Seidel34c4,305$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.71,21149.1%595 W · 616 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Ella Seidel0c4,303$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.661,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Ella Seidel26c3,211$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.2727846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ella Seidel42c2,919$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.49,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Ella Seidel32c2,861$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.0811843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Alina Korneeva72c2,781$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.0522856.1%128 W · 100 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c7…4421backed Ella Seidel2c1,936$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.63345.9%2 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-72.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ella Seidel32c1,670$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.0411,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Ella Seidel28c1,637$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.6372132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Ella Seidel27c1,483$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.3557447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Ella Seidel39c1,382$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.5580341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Alina Korneeva67c1,180$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.5541251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce9…61e5backed Ella Seidel45c1,039$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46511547%54 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ella Seidel42c940.61$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.373,73145.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L-3.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Alina Korneeva44c923.36$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.368655.8%48 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf677…0e56backed Ella Seidel55c907.37$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028650%143 W · 143 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed Alina Korneeva45c847.97$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.064332.6%14 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Alina Korneeva70c831.78$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9428348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Alina Korneeva72c801.64$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.754949%24 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ella Seidel36c713$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.859,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Alina Korneeva51c612.77$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.261,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Alina Korneeva71c600.33$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5215442.2%65 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Alina Korneeva51c578.9$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2235132.2%113 W · 238 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Alina Korneeva54c549.99$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9956757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked Alina Korneeva46c543.75$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.7617649.4%87 W · 89 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Alina Korneeva63c536.85$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.184,62667.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L+310.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Ella Seidel53c505.7$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.332,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe132…ca8dbacked Alina Korneeva65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Ella Seidel42c500$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.9522343%96 W · 127 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff6…3a39backed Ella Seidel31c483.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.91040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Alina Korneeva53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.794549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Ella Seidel43c463.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+39.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Alina Korneeva44c454.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.724856.9%141 W · 107 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Alina Korneeva50c395.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.864957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd80a…c494backed Alina Korneeva57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.883132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Ella Seidel36c350$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.064,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alina Korneeva59c336.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.442,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Ella Seidel48c318$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6434242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Ella Seidel38c313.51$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.424,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Ella Seidel49c250.6$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7921638%82 W · 134 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Ella Seidel48c245.15$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6747534.5%164 W · 311 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed Ella Seidel5c244.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.461040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Ella Seidel51c236.04$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020938.3%80 W · 129 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ella Seidel17c223.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.833,88555%2,137 W · 1,748 L+111.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Ella Seidel37c221.62$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8215860.1%95 W · 63 L+15.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Ella Seidel49c202.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9965942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alina Korneeva64c201.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.695,45556.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L+234.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Ella Seidel24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.112134.7%42 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69c1…da5fbacked Ella Seidel39c189.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.681275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Ella Seidel50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021560.5%130 W · 85 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe132…7a38backed Alina Korneeva64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2518364.5%118 W · 65 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc8…c21fbacked Ella Seidel33c153.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.656933.3%23 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Ella Seidel21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.558438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Ella Seidel35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.517436.8%64 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Ella Seidel45c147.68$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0469051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf864…c210backed Ella Seidel38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18be…dde0backed Ella Seidel18c127.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Alina Korneeva69c124.18$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.71,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Ella Seidel34c120.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4141744.1%184 W · 233 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Alina Korneeva49c120.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4137534.9%131 W · 244 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alina Korneeva60c120.33$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.086,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1225…7874backed Ella Seidel34c118.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402556%14 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Ella Seidel17c117.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9538522.3%86 W · 299 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Ella Seidel35c115.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3330339.9%121 W · 182 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Ella Seidel36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…f88ebacked Alina Korneeva44c110$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.61952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d4…6297backed Alina Korneeva55c109.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.181827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Ella Seidel21c104.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0422113.6%30 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Alina Korneeva61c102.61$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9950644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…ed4ebacked Ella Seidel45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456555.4%36 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Ella Seidel58c97.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Ella Seidel49c96.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3725245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Alina Korneeva52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1530258.6%177 W · 125 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Alina Korneeva52c91.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6230672.9%223 W · 83 L+27.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Alina Korneeva52c89.08$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.82,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed Alina Korneeva68c88.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5315758.6%92 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d5…138ebacked Alina Korneeva49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.638758.6%51 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Alina Korneeva51c81.57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.373,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Ella Seidel36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Alina Korneeva63c79.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4468957.6%397 W · 292 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Alina Korneeva47c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7531366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d76…9045backed Ella Seidel22c72.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.872152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Alina Korneeva48c66.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6724463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Ella Seidel38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2559050.5%298 W · 292 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Ella Seidel48c62.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.242,05347.8%982 W · 1,071 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Alina Korneeva66c58.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.971,09073.7%803 W · 287 L+40.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Alina Korneeva45c57.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8783047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Alina Korneeva58c52.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.871,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Ella Seidel58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Alina Korneeva51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.516529.1%48 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Alina Korneeva73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.588273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Ella Seidel34c49.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8339039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Alina Korneeva55c45.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7432937.1%122 W · 207 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Ella Seidel46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad76…93febacked Alina Korneeva62c42.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Alina Korneeva63c40.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0832240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc1e…5e1fbacked Ella Seidel57c40.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232564%16 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.