Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4de75fae6de432cf807ca5003e712e397ef3f406b03ab9e44ba796a781a854a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 26c | 4,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.89 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 47c | 3,605$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.7 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…6f8bbacked Yes | 71c | 3,403$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 14c | 2,830$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.31 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 26c | 2,688$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.52 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,394$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.47 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f66…4f72backed No | 26c | 1,298$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Yes | 55c | 1,109$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,037$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.66 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 52c | 866$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.68 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 69c | 638$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 39c | 626.09$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.63 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 26c | 546.09$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked Yes | 52c | 536.39$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed No | 26c | 485.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 286.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96fb…b2a3backed Yes | 58c | 281.49$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 26c | 279.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 26c | 256.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 47c | 253.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…bfb6backed No | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 26c | 230.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 62c | 212.67$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 7c | 197.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 26c | 184.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked No | 36c | 171.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee9…07d1backed No | 27c | 169.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…4d16backed Yes | 49c | 157.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…b309backed Yes | 74c | 132.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Yes | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 26c | 129.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Yes | 69c | 107.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 50c | 107.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…1cbebacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…1289backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…bbd8backed Yes | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed No | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c9…2663backed Yes | 62c | 88.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c3…dcaebacked Yes | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…b58abacked Yes | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 19c | 80.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4769backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…2d08backed Yes | 59c | 78.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 27c | 77.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…2fd2backed Yes | 62c | 74.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Yes | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ff…458bbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…458dbacked Yes | 74c | 66.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…e17fbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…fba1backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…2043backed Yes | 74c | 61.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…7025backed Yes | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…364bbacked Yes | 74c | 59.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…8008backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…4c72backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af4…706ebacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…6fc6backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…a66abacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048c…2f3abacked Yes | 73c | 47.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes | 77c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…fb23backed Yes | 74c | 45.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 74c | 45.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…eee1backed Yes | 74c | 43.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…2ce6backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…6bb8backed Yes | 74c | 37.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…710bbacked Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…59e2backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…cbf5backed Yes | 73c | 32.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…5232backed Yes | 73c | 32.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665b…bc7abacked Yes | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…979abacked Yes | 73c | 32.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…d84bbacked Yes | 73c | 32.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8426…1491backed Yes | 73c | 30.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb660…195dbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-04?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Leicester end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester win on 2025-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.