TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed No68c4,453$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.6511657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No48c3,719$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.5740254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes32c3,287$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.5179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No52c2,581$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.6114659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.9838649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes48c2,001$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.9428443.7%124 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes27c1,858$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.4737841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No50c1,730$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.2432158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No69c1,712$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No51c1,342$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.678750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No50c1,145$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.2290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed Yes47c1,141$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.923262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Yes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked No53c936.6$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.26253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1394…e426backed No51c896$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.041650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…217ebacked Yes48c801.81$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba6…d42cbacked Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb762…a604backed No51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes40c497.59$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.345644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes26c492.77$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed No54c476.37$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.132142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No50c473.5$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.7518950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes48c450.4$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.26838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes47c450$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2138230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed No50c401.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.43944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No50c365.87$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.527967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Yes30c339.35$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.331233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Yes52c286.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No51c267.41$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.317968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes40c249.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No50c246.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3146660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes47c244.68$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae59…761fbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb586…7f97backed Yes47c210.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes47c210.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-46%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No52c178.56$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7124044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes48c168.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.396854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Yes47c165.45$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.765050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Yes49c154.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No50c150.84$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3636259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No59c126.83$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5228355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc253…b609backed No51c125$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x322f…9372backed Yes50c124.18$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0940%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe795…baacbacked Yes47c122$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes50c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.418232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c6a…5726backed Yes41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes52c118.12$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4637652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.716737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa47…552bbacked No51c103.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf98…c7d9backed No51c102.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.27425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4917837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0795…be42backed No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb680…c893backed Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513613.9%5 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c62…cafebacked Yes48c98.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4770…8fa6backed Yes49c95.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc4…e66fbacked Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb7…b6b0backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf1…384dbacked Yes44c91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.041060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cad…79b7backed Yes42c90.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…a896backed No59c89.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73f…b237backed Yes48c86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6327…3cdabacked No60c81.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b46…2389backed Yes48c81.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a6d…2a58backed Yes50c80.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac7b…f22abacked Yes48c79.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No52c78.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2960557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No53c78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.669756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfab9…60b2backed No71c73.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd339…5a1fbacked Yes51c64.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…375abacked Yes49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.27934.2%27 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d8…f9c5backed Yes53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304663%29 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…e7ebbacked No47c53.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No50c52.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8359958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb992…01f5backed Yes47c48.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ec…0a71backed No50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.831471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6143…0fe3backed Yes49c46.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f44…073cbacked No50c45.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e30…aa47backed Yes53c45.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60e1…8ac5backed No50c45.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc650…4204backed Yes50c45.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…6b21backed Yes50c43.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6801…1b05backed No49c43.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aca…30a1backed Yes51c43.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12cb…1beebacked No48c43.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…7f56backed No49c42.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea0…6a7cbacked No47c42.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…a408backed Yes53c42.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc737…d337backed No49c42.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeacb…ea61backed Yes51c42.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.