Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2220537d2479cc23f206c53d94629b3e9e87e11fb872ddad47420903c7671a75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 47c | 3,703$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.41 | 701 | 72.3%507 W · 194 L | +83.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 53c | 3,305$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.79 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…42a4backed No | 79c | 2,744$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 2,362$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.35 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,022$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.45 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 24c | 1,961$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.9 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 26c | 1,127$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.89 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 21c | 1,080$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.18 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 26c | 1,047$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.25 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 626.02$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.8 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked No | 74c | 597.3$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 26c | 592.73$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Yes | 27c | 570.37$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 73c | 560.25$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.27 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 74c | 478.4$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 21c | 347.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 255 | 29%74 W · 181 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 74c | 190$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Yes | 16c | 162.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…f97abacked No | 74c | 74.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed No | 76c | 57.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…efe0backed Yes | 27c | 53.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…81e0backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab9…60b2backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6b…23f8backed Yes | 25c | 39.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…1b8fbacked No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…06c7backed No | 75c | 26.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 75c | 21.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 372 | 45.4%169 W · 203 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 73c | 19.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…19e0backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 75c | 13.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…087ebacked No | 75c | 13.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-26?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.