Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4730e89f98be1e318778358254515cc096525525787d3e51739a1a807ea1c819
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 13c | 12,782$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 26c | 1,374$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.92 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 51c | 1,352$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.75 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 72c | 689.29$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.29 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 25c | 360$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed No | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 330.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 25c | 321.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…3cb2backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Yes | 69c | 288.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 26c | 215.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Yes | 25c | 107.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 60c | 106.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…2093backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 24c | 99.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…6bd4backed No | 75c | 90.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfab9…60b2backed No | 63c | 79.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 62c | 71.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 26c | 63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…0c07backed Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 75c | 53.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 28c | 46.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 38c | 45.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…6bd3backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 73c | 39.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 73c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 73c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Yes | 54c | 33.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…113fbacked No | 76c | 15.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…b203backed No | 76c | 15.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-26?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.