College Football · resolved market
Toledo vs. Washington State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc12ec05ee424fba7ce58417c68598eb46112050ab589e4ab72eabf04541f604f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Stateof Toledo, Washington State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington State | 64c | 26,319$16,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,431.74 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Toledo | 51c | 12,186$6,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,214.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Toledo | 52c | 8,183$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241.61 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…3848backed Washington State | 49c | 8,100$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6764…6383backed Toledo | 51c | 7,992$4,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,076 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Washington State | 49c | 7,124$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.15 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Washington State | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.99 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…a198backed Washington State | 49c | 4,800$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…7985backed Toledo | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Toledo | 53c | 4,400$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Toledo | 23c | 4,251$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.73 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…24fdbacked Toledo | 51c | 3,600$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Toledo | 13c | 3,523$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.45 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Toledo | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91cc…18c3backed Washington State | 49c | 3,200$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Washington State | 48c | 2,898$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.15 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Washington State | 47c | 2,547$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.96 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Washington State | 48c | 2,246$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.22 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Washington State | 46c | 2,200$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…0d38backed Washington State | 49c | 2,133$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616c…1a06backed Toledo | 52c | 2,010$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Toledo | 53c | 1,750$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.5 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Toledo | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.29 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toledo | 29c | 1,533$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.31 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Toledo | 54c | 1,500$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Toledo | 51c | 1,424$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.24 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Washington State | 48c | 1,142$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.84 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Washington State | 46c | 1,040$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.48 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Toledo | 52c | 1,025$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toledo | 31c | 1,015$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.49 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Toledo | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…db3ebacked Toledo | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…72f5backed Washington State | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +194.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Toledo | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Toledo | 6c | 990.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Washington State | 51c | 918.96$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.29 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Washington State | 48c | 709$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Washington State | 51c | 541$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3a…3bebbacked Toledo | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Washington State | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443f…87ffbacked Washington State | 48c | 499.81$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Toledo | 49c | 495$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.35 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Toledo | 45c | 466.12$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.75 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Washington State | 49c | 454$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.54 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Toledo | 52c | 423.31$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Toledo | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…2941backed Washington State | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Washington State | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Washington State | 48c | 291$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed Toledo | 54c | 236.64$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Toledo | 51c | 234.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Washington State | 49c | 225.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…383dbacked Washington State | 47c | 216.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Toledo | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Toledo | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Washington State | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Washington State | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Washington State | 46c | 198.13$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Toledo | 52c | 173$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Toledo | 51c | 144$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3286…df62backed Toledo | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Toledo | 49c | 109.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Washington State | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Washington State | 66c | 100.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Toledo | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…edd1backed Toledo | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…6202backed Toledo | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Toledo | 49c | 87.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Toledo | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Toledo | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Toledo | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Toledo | 52c | 72.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Washington State | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…a9d3backed Toledo | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Toledo | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…83d4backed Washington State | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…1dd0backed Toledo | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…0f56backed Toledo | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Washington State | 47c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Toledo | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Washington State | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Washington State | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…3e83backed Washington State | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…f190backed Toledo | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Washington State | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…bf65backed Toledo | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Washington State | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington State | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…2639backed Toledo | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…da1ebacked Washington State | 53c | 31.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…311cbacked Washington State | 53c | 31.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…4bcbbacked Toledo | 49c | 29.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf74…078cbacked Washington State | 52c | 29.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc53…8c9cbacked Toledo | 53c | 27.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…8f45backed Washington State | 53c | 27.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…3190backed Toledo | 48c | 26.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ff…9bd1backed Washington State | 48c | 26.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…775cbacked Toledo | 48c | 25.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2943…0396backed Washington State | 53c | 22.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b38…5c08backed Toledo | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toledo vs. Washington Statethis page
- Spread: Washington State (-1.5)Washington State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.