Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Simona Waltert vs Dominika Salkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8647824f1ff9f1222ffdb0dab792f2f4b53da17aac359835847b8e5db0d45f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Simona Waltertof Simona Waltert, Dominika Salkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dominika Salkova | 14c | 7,360$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.11 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Dominika Salkova | 0c | 5,333$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Dominika Salkova | 13c | 2,104$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.67 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Dominika Salkova | 12c | 1,129$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.45 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Dominika Salkova | 38c | 1,020$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.45 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Simona Waltert | 62c | 999.96$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Dominika Salkova | 36c | 673.59$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.31 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dominika Salkova | 5c | 672.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Dominika Salkova | 14c | 665.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Dominika Salkova | 39c | 652.4$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.44 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dominika Salkova | 10c | 423.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Dominika Salkova | 11c | 382.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Dominika Salkova | 41c | 381.34$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.35 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Dominika Salkova | 41c | 381.34$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Simona Waltert | 59c | 330.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.69 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dominika Salkova | 10c | 321.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Simona Waltert | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 184 | 62%114 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Dominika Salkova | 40c | 311$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Simona Waltert | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Simona Waltert | 61c | 292.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Simona Waltert | 60c | 285.75$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Dominika Salkova | 39c | 283.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e44…9b22backed Dominika Salkova | 40c | 263.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dominika Salkova | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…3904backed Dominika Salkova | 12c | 202.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Dominika Salkova | 6c | 195.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Simona Waltert | 63c | 174.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Simona Waltert | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 215 | 67.4%145 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Dominika Salkova | 10c | 143.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Dominika Salkova | 11c | 132.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Simona Waltert | 78c | 121.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…cbeabacked Simona Waltert | 61c | 118.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dominika Salkova | 18c | 108.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Simona Waltert | 60c | 107.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dominika Salkova | 23c | 103.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dominika Salkova | 15c | 101.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Dominika Salkova | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dominika Salkova | 13c | 99.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Dominika Salkova | 40c | 98.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Dominika Salkova | 32c | 92.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Dominika Salkova | 25c | 85.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Dominika Salkova | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…c243backed Simona Waltert | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Simona Waltert | 58c | 60.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Dominika Salkova | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Dominika Salkova | 39c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Simona Waltert | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Dominika Salkova | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Simona Waltert | 61c | 32.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed Dominika Salkova | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Simona Waltert | 80c | 27.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Simona Waltert | 61c | 27.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Simona Waltert | 58c | 20.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Simona Waltert | 61c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed Simona Waltert | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.