Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Hanyu Guo vs Louisa Chirico
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95057f31d5fff39926d5eb2ab26a2bae3980e413dfdf60f85cc1a42ad5006501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guoof Guo, Chirico
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Guo | 46c | 10,394$4,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,649.19 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chirico | 45c | 6,521$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.24 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Chirico | 64c | 5,222$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chirico | 57c | 3,234$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.96 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Guo | 46c | 3,109$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.09 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chirico | 72c | 1,778$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.1 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Guo | 47c | 1,531$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.41 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Guo | 39c | 1,169$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.44 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Chirico | 52c | 871$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.76 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Chirico | 54c | 825$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.36 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Guo | 38c | 771.44$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.08 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Guo | 43c | 734.71$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.32 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Chirico | 55c | 585$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Chirico | 60c | 500.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Guo | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Guo | 18c | 499.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Chirico | 15c | 463.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chirico | 41c | 399.41$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.42 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Guo | 54c | 318.06$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Guo | 47c | 289.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.36 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Chirico | 14c | 176.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Guo | 63c | 145.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Guo | 57c | 136.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Guo | 73c | 136.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Chirico | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Chirico | 48c | 106.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Guo | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guo | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Chirico | 80c | 96.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Chirico | 60c | 88.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Guo | 43c | 81.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Chirico | 67c | 77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Guo | 54c | 74.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chirico | 47c | 71.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Guo | 50c | 62.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Chirico | 46c | 60.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Chirico | 36c | 51.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Guo | 39c | 50.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chirico | 50c | 50.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…3120backed Guo | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Chirico | 22c | 48.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Chirico | 52c | 45.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Guo | 36c | 40.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Guo | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Chirico | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Chirico | 46c | 30.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bee…31fdbacked Guo | 42c | 28.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chirico | 62c | 27.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…2cc1backed Guo | 44c | 25.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee70…7e8abacked Chirico | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guo | 65c | 24.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Chirico | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Chirico | 47c | 22.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Chirico | 67c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Chirico | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.