Us Politics · resolved market
Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49d8f6a49da96276f1b961152dba6b4d7567c9b47bc48d8a7aef778232dbdeef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 48c | 19,809$9,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,313.32 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…b0cabacked No | 61c | 18,769$11,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,429.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 19c | 7,692$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,245.13 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 7,481$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…9c69backed Yes | 39c | 6,808$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150.76 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 68c | 6,096$4,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,166.31 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 47c | 4,522$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.22 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 53c | 3,367$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.5 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb068…4befbacked No | 1c | 3,288$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed No | 1c | 3,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +207.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 35c | 2,977$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 58c | 2,952$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.17 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 39c | 2,754$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.53 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 45c | 2,649$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 38c | 2,378$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.07 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…3f9dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,476$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 41c | 1,457$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.23 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 68c | 1,299$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.95 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,167$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.25 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 1,165$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.97 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 7c | 1,129$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.68 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed Yes | 17c | 1,047$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.85 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +14.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 12c | 986.3$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 48c | 869.36$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.04 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 66c | 736.7$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.05 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…9c9abacked Yes | 3c | 708.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.6 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 664.92$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.73 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 45c | 600$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.13 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e0…6c39backed Yes | 5c | 499.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.48 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…c80fbacked Yes | 4c | 489.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.19 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…3a60backed Yes | 7c | 464.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,404.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 38c | 448.3$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked No | 74c | 404$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 4c | 371.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.6 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…5505backed Yes | 7c | 365.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b4…1b35backed Yes | 7c | 356.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +403.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed No | 48c | 315$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 29c | 310$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.88 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…529fbacked Yes | 16c | 300.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +517.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8d…9b9bbacked No | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 13c | 299.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.37 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 7c | 292.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.29 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb77…7368backed Yes | 35c | 285.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…18a1backed No | 56c | 284.71$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 22c | 273.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.82 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 14c | 270$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.87 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…2420backed Yes | 10c | 253.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…c725backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 47c | 221.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6925…7413backed No | 52c | 217.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 206.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 10c | 203.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…512cbacked Yes | 36c | 201.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…4dd3backed No | 51c | 185.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed No | 59c | 168.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 168.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…077cbacked Yes | 60c | 167.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…243dbacked Yes | 15c | 165.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835e…99ffbacked No | 63c | 163.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…17e8backed No | 77c | 149.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 50c | 141$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b40…6ec9backed No | 47c | 122.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 79c | 101.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…70dcbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…6509backed No | 65c | 92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +720.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6a…f057backed Yes | 54c | 87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +304.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 16c | 76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed Yes | 21c | 72.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7367…cc69backed Yes | 37c | 54.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 79c | 52.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6a…a012backed Yes | 54c | 51.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…923fbacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…c06fbacked No | 54c | 42.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 48c | 41.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…aa07backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 68c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 66c | 35.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 73c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…9684backed No | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd1…b0fbbacked No | 74c | 31.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 50c | 28.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…5fa8backed No | 64c | 23.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed No | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…1f68backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.