CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33de54e39e8567f351a8d13866bedc6a735230cad4e5d56e51b1a4a6f39e7604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Aetherof LAG Gaming, Team Aether
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,239 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaaa…0c1ebacked LAG Gaming | 58c | 3,437$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Aether | 61c | 2,388$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.03 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Aether | 47c | 2,335$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.63 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Aether | 42c | 1,831$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.07 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Team Aether | 54c | 1,400$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.9 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed LAG Gaming | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 430 | 55.1%237 W · 193 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LAG Gaming | 50c | 1,379$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.07 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LAG Gaming | 45c | 1,282$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.09 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LAG Gaming | 39c | 1,001$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.84 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…3a84backed Team Aether | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed LAG Gaming | 41c | 429.76$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed LAG Gaming | 33c | 395.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Aether | 50c | 390.2$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.28 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Team Aether | 50c | 381.4$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.71 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…6509backed Team Aether | 36c | 362.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed LAG Gaming | 55c | 362.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…284bbacked LAG Gaming | 55c | 360.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed LAG Gaming | 22c | 328.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…a179backed Team Aether | 58c | 304.91$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed LAG Gaming | 38c | 300.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed LAG Gaming | 60c | 270.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeba…9ff9backed Team Aether | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team Aether | 38c | 212$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Team Aether | 49c | 204.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…3dffbacked Team Aether | 50c | 202$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed Team Aether | 52c | 195.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Team Aether | 30c | 190$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 301 | 54.2%163 W · 138 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Team Aether | 48c | 183.66$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Team Aether | 31c | 182.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Team Aether | 52c | 178.39$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 956 | 49.7%475 W · 481 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Team Aether | 49c | 166.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed LAG Gaming | 36c | 157.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed LAG Gaming | 53c | 154.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Team Aether | 46c | 123.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed LAG Gaming | 39c | 121.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Team Aether | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Team Aether | 51c | 104.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Team Aether | 53c | 103$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…493cbacked LAG Gaming | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked Team Aether | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Team Aether | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed LAG Gaming | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Team Aether | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Aether | 29c | 97.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked LAG Gaming | 64c | 96.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Team Aether | 47c | 87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 789 | 52%410 W · 379 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed LAG Gaming | 40c | 83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LAG Gaming | 42c | 80.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Aether | 55c | 74.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 716 | 51%365 W · 351 L | +28.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LAG Gaming | 51c | 72.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Aether | 42c | 71.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…bafbbacked Team Aether | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…c2f5backed Team Aether | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +203.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked LAG Gaming | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Team Aether | 40c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Team Aether | 50c | 60.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked LAG Gaming | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…4b96backed Team Aether | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked Team Aether | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LAG Gaming | 40c | 59.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed LAG Gaming | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Team Aether | 39c | 53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Team Aether | 53c | 51.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Team Aether | 31c | 51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed LAG Gaming | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked LAG Gaming | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Team Aether | 50c | 40.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Team Aether | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed LAG Gaming | 45c | 39.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed LAG Gaming | 29c | 34.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…c80bbacked Team Aether | 46c | 32.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Team Aether | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed LAG Gaming | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…0375backed Team Aether | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…6b1cbacked Team Aether | 36c | 28.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Team Aether | 61c | 19.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Team Aether | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked LAG Gaming | 69c | 14.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether - Map 1 WinnerTeam Aether won
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether - Map 2 WinnerLAG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.