CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f8fe1141f035d771f4f320651b3fced12267da5b16fc5451ddb2c0dd4b845f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Aetherof LAG Gaming, Team Aether
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,418 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…1104backed LAG Gaming | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Aether | 57c | 1,917$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.58 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaa…0c1ebacked LAG Gaming | 69c | 1,437$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LAG Gaming | 49c | 1,212$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.98 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Aether | 56c | 698.28$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Aether | 51c | 470.86$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.02 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Team Aether | 14c | 381.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Team Aether | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Aether | 55c | 292.63$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0e…021ebacked LAG Gaming | 45c | 220.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed LAG Gaming | 31c | 175$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…b40dbacked LAG Gaming | 76c | 132.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LAG Gaming | 63c | 118.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Team Aether | 30c | 112$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Aether | 42c | 82.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Team Aether | 72c | 66.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…f485backed LAG Gaming | 23c | 55.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed Team Aether | 67c | 53.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked LAG Gaming | 71c | 51.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Team Aether | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Aether | 30c | 44.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Team Aether | 35c | 42.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Team Aether | 35c | 42.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Aether | 57c | 40.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Team Aether | 41c | 36.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Team Aether | 53c | 35.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Team Aether | 34c | 32.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Team Aether | 55c | 25.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Aether | 49c | 25.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 PlayoffsTeam Aether won
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether - Map 2 WinnerLAG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.