TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,853 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c7,892$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.271,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No70c7,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35014346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes28c3,632$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.911233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes15c2,654$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.763158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.998041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes59c2,435$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes30c2,333$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.91421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes26c2,153$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.6121560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c2,050$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.510521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No72c2,000$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.2913050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.995354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec6…47c1backed Yes61c1,938$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No73c1,928$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.543050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c1,803$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.641,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c1,525$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.3324044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No74c1,352$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.162356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked No74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.35450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6324…95b9backed Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes27c1,068$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.491729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No68c953.33$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.344772.3%34 W · 13 L+7.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No72c900$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes34c846$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.861361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No40c708.36$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.479051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No60c627.85$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.954839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1627549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20f2…0bc9backed No74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes14c498.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No38c498$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.7611070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes26c466.35$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2523153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8f2…d296backed Yes29c460.62$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No42c445.14$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.182157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084628.3%13 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No73c388.12$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.793265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes29c364.76$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.782931%9 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Yes28c357$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf8…b837backed Yes29c340$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No73c332.29$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.293458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes27c276$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.529156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.271172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes25c269.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.327529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x90d4…2692backed No35c264.17$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.271266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes29c237.59$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.91643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yes26c236$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3670%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes27c220.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.567926.6%21 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c216.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1126845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No51c203.74$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.32759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes28c178.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed Yes30c172.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.65333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes26c164.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.753036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No77c145.72$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4826040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7826…20b1backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…490fbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81c8…97b8backed Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e7…87c2backed No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No74c129.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.611566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes27c125.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f8…a24dbacked No74c122.41$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4292…9cd8backed No45c117.78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa91…eac3backed Yes28c105.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes63c104.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.813053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No33c99.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.984438.6%17 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2bd…f0a4backed Yes62c90.81$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked No72c90.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.283354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No70c88$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.44551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bb…a297backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4591…df1bbacked No74c81.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.08540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes68c80.96$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552250%11 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa131…aea2backed Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed Yes60c79.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-51.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b2b…4291backed Yes30c75.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…9803backed Yes69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202544%11 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd45b…933ebacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No41c69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.713148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe37e…0009backed No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaed4…728cbacked No74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x346e…1eb7backed Yes28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4417…8d57backed Yes28c56.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.053966.7%26 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.