Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x167a90f6800ad2ef3c02d3205406929b7abeebdd3965cf3fa0944b2aea747d01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 15,380$7,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,145.26 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 37c | 7,675$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.9 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 41c | 6,755$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.5 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 69c | 5,689$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 64c | 5,480$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.52 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 68c | 5,334$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.88 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 3,154$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.44 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 78c | 1,883$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 63c | 1,452$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.4 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 69c | 1,381$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 43c | 1,195$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 37c | 1,041$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.89 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 35c | 996.97$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 36c | 954.42$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.49 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 63c | 896.2$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.59 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 37c | 645.71$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…4d4ebacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 547.71$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.88 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…63d9backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…b28fbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 80c | 400$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 21c | 382.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…0f6ebacked Yes | 44c | 374.12$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 62c | 374.09$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.72 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 320.15$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 311.42$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…0a7cbacked No | 60c | 303$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 292.07$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 65c | 250.77$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf82…c406backed Yes | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed No | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Yes | 35c | 179.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…234dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 76c | 150.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e1…fbb9backed Yes | 74c | 148.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 20c | 143.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…ae93backed Yes | 80c | 137.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 63c | 113.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…4616backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 65c | 107.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9803backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 51c | 102.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 42c | 101.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 32c | 93.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 22c | 78.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 35c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 64c | 74.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 38c | 66.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…5db5backed Yes | 38c | 66.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…8166backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…2d33backed Yes | 64c | 57.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 65c | 55.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 38c | 54.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e2…daf5backed Yes | 77c | 54.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…f468backed Yes | 28c | 52.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 41c | 49.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 63c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…ef8fbacked Yes | 37c | 43.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed Yes | 46c | 42.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b5…4d23backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…70fdbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbd…6d1cbacked Yes | 79c | 34.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 35c | 30.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…635ebacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…ff71backed Yes | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 63c | 26.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe254…d8fabacked Yes | 69c | 20.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…896ebacked Yes | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will SC Freiburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.