Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Emil Ruusuvuori vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21db99a4858b31f005fb30ecb4bfccd133804ae63f7fc6ab3a52456136f35520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perricardof Ruusuvuori, Perricard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Perricard | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Ruusuvuori | 57c | 2,536$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.56 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Perricard | 65c | 1,652$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.36 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Perricard | 64c | 1,328$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.56 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ruusuvuori | 34c | 1,259$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.31 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ruusuvuori | 33c | 1,121$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Perricard | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Ruusuvuori | 40c | 1,000$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.9 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Perricard | 70c | 978.81$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.54 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ruusuvuori | 41c | 833.24$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Ruusuvuori | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Perricard | 65c | 777$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Ruusuvuori | 27c | 682.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.72 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ruusuvuori | 32c | 642.49$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.06 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Ruusuvuori | 34c | 391.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Ruusuvuori | 30c | 311.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…8166backed Perricard | 64c | 303.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Perricard | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ruusuvuori | 5c | 268.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5a00backed Ruusuvuori | 31c | 242$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Ruusuvuori | 22c | 223.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Perricard | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Ruusuvuori | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Ruusuvuori | 35c | 189.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Perricard | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Perricard | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Perricard | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Perricard | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…4c0abacked Perricard | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Ruusuvuori | 34c | 98.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Perricard | 65c | 94.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Perricard | 65c | 89.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Perricard | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Perricard | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2c…910ebacked Ruusuvuori | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Perricard | 64c | 66.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Perricard | 65c | 61.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Perricard | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Ruusuvuori | 34c | 58.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Perricard | 64c | 57.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Perricard | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b2…469abacked Perricard | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…fe6abacked Perricard | 66c | 29.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Ruusuvuori | 43c | 24.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc5…d98bbacked Perricard | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6b44backed Perricard | 66c | 15.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Perricard | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.