Fifa International · resolved market
Will Chile win on 2025-10-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8969ba18f5a207d5bddd6a629f6b5e42a93130077b6c9df08da5061d68ebcdd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 51c | 3,355$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.68 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 2,728$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Yes | 51c | 1,951$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 49c | 1,942$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.12 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 50c | 1,454$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.64 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 72c | 693.16$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 49c | 399.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c9…02ffbacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 293.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.41 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 215$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 51c | 196.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 132.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…457bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…646dbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…4339backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chile win on 2025-10-10?this page
- Will Chile vs. Peru end in a draw?No won
- Will Peru win on 2025-10-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.