College Football · resolved market
Miami (OH) vs. Akron
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d79728668e9e1a6850edcd208df20c8bea30aece8084c04bb157648d2113b48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH)of Miami (OH), Akron
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Akron | 22c | 198,507$43,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,419.21 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Miami (OH) | 78c | 179,595$140,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,311.27 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Miami (OH) | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Akron | 20c | 12,808$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.6 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Miami (OH) | 78c | 12,506$9,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Miami (OH) | 78c | 9,000$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Miami (OH) | 79c | 7,386$5,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.05 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Akron | 22c | 7,235$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.85 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Akron | 21c | 6,029$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.76 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…672ebacked Akron | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed Akron | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Miami (OH) | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Akron | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Akron | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Akron | 20c | 2,196$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.23 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Akron | 1c | 2,147$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami (OH) | 78c | 1,728$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.21 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Akron | 20c | 1,007$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.04 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Akron | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Akron | 21c | 942.69$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Miami (OH) | 80c | 900$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Akron | 21c | 900$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Miami (OH) | 79c | 680$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Akron | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…b696backed Miami (OH) | 80c | 518.01$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Akron | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Miami (OH) | 80c | 366$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3678…d0a5backed Miami (OH) | 79c | 280$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b0…d410backed Akron | 21c | 280$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Miami (OH) | 74c | 250$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Miami (OH) | 79c | 223$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Akron | 27c | 170$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Miami (OH) | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Akron | 24c | 129$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Akron | 19c | 124.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Miami (OH) | 79c | 123.31$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Akron | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0b77backed Akron | 20c | 114.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Akron | 12c | 111.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Akron | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Miami (OH) | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Akron | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…dbfbbacked Akron | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Miami (OH) | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Akron | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Miami (OH) | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Miami (OH) | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…f1d3backed Miami (OH) | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami (OH) | 78c | 48.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami (OH) | 75c | 46.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…839abacked Miami (OH) | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 79cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…6fe8backed Miami (OH) | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Miami (OH) | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Miami (OH) | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Miami (OH) | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…4769backed Miami (OH) | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…a4c1backed Miami (OH) | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1700…54d9backed Miami (OH) | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami (OH) vs. Akronthis page
- Miami (OH) vs. Akron: O/U 46.5Under won
- O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (OH) (-11.5)Miami (OH) won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.