NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65553e9f778607a953c5349247304ec6edb40f54a23aa33c14811dc3c801723a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Blues, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Blues | 56c | 32,697$18,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,178.11 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Penguins | 44c | 15,400$6,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,624.25 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 52c | 9,668$5,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.84 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Penguins | 57c | 5,933$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.46 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Blues | 45c | 4,400$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…22dcbacked Penguins | 45c | 3,468$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…802abacked Penguins | 45c | 3,447$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Penguins | 45c | 3,159$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.37 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 47c | 2,473$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.08 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a0…29d6backed Blues | 55c | 2,471$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb381…51d5backed Blues | 55c | 2,416$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blues | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…9e30backed Blues | 55c | 2,028$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Penguins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.95 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Penguins | 44c | 1,921$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.76 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blues | 51c | 1,798$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.17 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Penguins | 46c | 1,696$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.57 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Blues | 22c | 1,643$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…b1bdbacked Blues | 55c | 1,536$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Penguins | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Blues | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Blues | 44c | 1,297$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Penguins | 46c | 1,025$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.42 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…2ca4backed Blues | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad9…e02fbacked Penguins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 45c | 999.98$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.64 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 46c | 909.65$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.38 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Penguins | 44c | 682$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.92 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Blues | 17c | 603.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blues | 55c | 539.95$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.57 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Penguins | 44c | 531.55$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.67 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Penguins | 44c | 525$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d2…b154backed Penguins | 48c | 523.71$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 71c | 514.15$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba9…2941backed Penguins | 49c | 501.02$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d1…40fdbacked Blues | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda18…5f61backed Penguins | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…775cbacked Penguins | 49c | 496.31$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blues | 53c | 427.06$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.41 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Penguins | 45c | 388$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Blues | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Penguins | 45c | 360$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.18 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Blues | 17c | 310$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Penguins | 46c | 286$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blues | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Blues | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a52…502cbacked Penguins | 49c | 227.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Blues | 37c | 225.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Penguins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Blues | 55c | 185.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Blues | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…ab8fbacked Blues | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Blues | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Blues | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Blues | 56c | 178.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins | 45c | 158.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Penguins | 45c | 129$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…b583backed Penguins | 45c | 116.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…6b74backed Blues | 56c | 111.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a8…0f02backed Blues | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Blues | 46c | 110.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfd…0fcfbacked Penguins | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Penguins | 45c | 104.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blues | 13c | 101.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blues | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Penguins | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe273…a047backed Penguins | 46c | 97.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…1d14backed Blues | 55c | 97.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3152…0f1bbacked Penguins | 46c | 95.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19b…478dbacked Blues | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x518c…4ad0backed Blues | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65bb…250fbacked Blues | 56c | 93.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Penguins | 45c | 93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a2…e03fbacked Blues | 56c | 85.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecc…24e7backed Penguins | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…459cbacked Blues | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77be…252ebacked Penguins | 46c | 84.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf850…886bbacked Penguins | 46c | 82.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e18…e005backed Blues | 55c | 81.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c8…19d4backed Blues | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Blues | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…c647backed Penguins | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Penguins | 44c | 79.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…e32bbacked Blues | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…e453backed Penguins | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Penguins | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Penguins | 80c | 72.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…80bdbacked Blues | 56c | 70.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b4…b953backed Penguins | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4736…33acbacked Penguins | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…60ffbacked Blues | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…0464backed Blues | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…abffbacked Blues | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…b4debacked Penguins | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…9f6bbacked Blues | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16de…a5f2backed Penguins | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec1d…c32abacked Penguins | 45c | 61.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ad…3055backed Penguins | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.