La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4f1f6452601ecca517db71684b2d631fe0ab9d1ac118f07adcd6f3d0e2844a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c54…da75backed No | 71c | 11,624$8,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,260.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 27c | 7,030$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.8 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 3,757$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.25 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 2,029$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.85 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 1,294$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 32c | 1,050$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 549.71$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.31 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 68c | 381.86$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.96 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed Yes | 33c | 300.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 30c | 299.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…0238backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 31c | 143.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 69c | 143.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 61c | 110.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 67c | 95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 27c | 92.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…16bcbacked No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 55c | 72.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 57.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed Yes | 28c | 49.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 65c | 30.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 62c | 21.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Real Oviedo vs. Levante UD end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.