La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9352737783e83e3f1cddf4a582fbecd56530c686daed87966db39f8fce675cba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 30c | 3,310$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 1,689$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.57 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 71c | 1,318$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 807.18$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 531.85$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 491$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.39 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 70c | 438.33$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 230$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed No | 69c | 111.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…208ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 73c | 51.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 71c | 32.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…175dbacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo vs. Levante UD end in a draw?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-10-04?Yes won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.