TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes40c30,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,00010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No60c28,263$16,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,957.941838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No60c5,085$3,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.0816154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f1…9599backed Yes40c4,269$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked No34c3,150$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.853023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Yes33c2,193$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes40c2,000$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.854443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No60c1,837$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.3624657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No59c1,322$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.4313754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes41c1,301$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.2311772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c1,019$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.932,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8749…bc74backed No61c938.32$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes68c836.01$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.191,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No59c727.78$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.3922551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No60c725$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43528556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No71c664.55$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.3522373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c556$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.1648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No54c529.53$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2874052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+52.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+110.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e9f…de68backed Yes38c449.25$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No60c440.51$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.312657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No64c431.93$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9520143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes58c415.27$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9324238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes40c347.5$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac45…ea33backed Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No60c269.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9928458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No60c269.66$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7944753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes31c259.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.21955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505560%33 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes41c244.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No60c244.1$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.085955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No22c224.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes41c182.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.937450%37 W · 37 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be7…8d02backed Yes39c178.95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.95742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes48c150$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.510339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…8f66backed No36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No28c109.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.063016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf89f…bd07backed Yes71c108.87$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.574100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2914254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Yes73c72.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No60c67.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.55240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0709…c620backed Yes75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes68c60.29$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2915450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes25c59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2214740.8%60 W · 87 L-14.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No60c56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.613152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No60c53.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2541943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3058…5412backed Yes39c50.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.648456%47 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302875%21 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x339f…79f0backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3add…2cfdbacked Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+105.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49a5…a67cbacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c6…7ad4backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+91.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.528445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309353.8%50 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5666…7949backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce18…a9dbbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfd…b676backed Yes71c47.79$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes38c47.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.147631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed No33c46.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e81…b287backed Yes40c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+100.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ec…0c17backed Yes40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa41d…8328backed Yes40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+191.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa2…6607backed Yes40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e9…8c29backed Yes40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2173…d713backed Yes40c37.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.38757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3170…a9dfbacked Yes40c34.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes40c32.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.53622.2%8 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked No62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Yes40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes67c29.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7231…8e0ebacked Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cdf…7f84backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbb…1794backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ed…cd71backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…138bbacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x825a…ece6backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155334%18 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes50c22.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.148858%51 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed No69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.871442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.