Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seattle Redhawks vs. Pepperdine Waves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb52213a9837d04fd315d37491d3f92661b6539e12356aed2be537fdca525c167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Redhawksof Seattle Redhawks, Pepperdine Waves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Pepperdine Waves | 27c | 6,203$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.35 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Redhawks | 74c | 2,162$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 71c | 2,042$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 23c | 1,836$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.3 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Seattle Redhawks | 77c | 1,450$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.48 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Redhawks | 78c | 1,186$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.55 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Redhawks | 75c | 823.53$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.15 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pepperdine Waves | 26c | 676.5$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Seattle Redhawks | 72c | 670.36$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.7 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pepperdine Waves | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Pepperdine Waves | 29c | 399.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pepperdine Waves | 13c | 395.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…1985backed Pepperdine Waves | 28c | 354.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 71c | 343.51$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Seattle Redhawks | 75c | 332.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 15c | 280.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pepperdine Waves | 32c | 199.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Pepperdine Waves | 29c | 198.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Seattle Redhawks | 78c | 185.42$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 27c | 185.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pepperdine Waves | 8c | 153.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Redhawks | 72c | 152.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Pepperdine Waves | 17c | 103.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Pepperdine Waves | 25c | 99.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Redhawks | 80c | 74.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 27c | 70.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pepperdine Waves | 21c | 63.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Seattle Redhawks | 76c | 52.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Seattle Redhawks | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Pepperdine Waves | 27c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 77c | 49.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pepperdine Waves | 30c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Seattle Redhawks | 74c | 40.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Pepperdine Waves | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Pepperdine Waves | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 73c | 29.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…1d07backed Seattle Redhawks | 70c | 28.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Seattle Redhawks | 69c | 27.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Seattle Redhawks | 68c | 27.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Seattle Redhawks | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Seattle Redhawks | 73c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Redhawks | 72c | 24.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Seattle Redhawks | 72c | 18.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Redhawks vs. Pepperdine Wavesthis page
- Seattle Redhawks vs. Pepperdine Waves: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-5.5)Seattle Redhawks won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-6.5)Seattle Redhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.