TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,367
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,367 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over41c12,699$5,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,536.851,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over40c8,212$3,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,924.2210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c5,177$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.9812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under60c3,948$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.81,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under60c2,632$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.21,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14019252.6%101 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcd…7ab2backed Under57c1,953$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under60c1,318$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.911,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under60c1,316$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.591,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under55c1,097$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.1168053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Over45c1,095$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.3310157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over36c910.49$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.495,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under60c813.33$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48839351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under60c813.33$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48841847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under60c813.33$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48812656.3%71 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under60c650.67$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.451555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under56c619.82$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.8227249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c614.59$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.432,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f90…4e02backed Over45c537.22$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.472458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed Under8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over35c463.53$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.189,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over43c414.44$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2321538.6%83 W · 132 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under60c406.67$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24425349.4%125 W · 128 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over43c402.22$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.2710545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c328.91$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.195,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Over6c300$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28210215.7%16 W · 86 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Over6c300$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2828215.9%13 W · 69 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+71.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over42c294.44$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.891,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Under60c254.6$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9813361.7%82 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012549.6%62 W · 63 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Over42c192.79$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4910449%51 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under51c179.48$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.129837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Under59c165.58$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.533461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under58c160.53$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4949942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5db0…a3b6backed Under70c141$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under57c124.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.886,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over45c116.2$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6255464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under59c111.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8470154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under59c101.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9933547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Under53c97.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2327053.7%145 W · 125 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Under57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5323152.8%122 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Over44c96.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.123348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over59c94.13$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.256,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under60c81.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.852449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under60c81.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.815552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e3…ff82backed Over45c77.86$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.633534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over43c70.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3613439.6%53 W · 81 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over43c70.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3422948%110 W · 119 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under56c59.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3667849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over43c58.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.31,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Under60c52.64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.582657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under58c50.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2479543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under58c50.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2529450.7%149 W · 145 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under57c48.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7616553.3%88 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over44c48.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0816261.1%99 W · 63 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05f0…70d3backed Over34c48.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+127%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over49c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4613256.1%74 W · 58 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over42c44.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.123248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de4…95d2backed Over44c43.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.62665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cc…3132backed Under58c43.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3311753%62 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under59c41.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3965248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Over42c41.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.95350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over48c36.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1418751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4719248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked Under59c34.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.483336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46b1…3170backed Over45c34.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.911346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under39c34.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2625452%132 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe503…6d7bbacked Over43c33.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a66…a5d7backed Under58c33.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.520950.2%105 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over45c32.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a9…73debacked Over45c30.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over38c29.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Under60c29.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.672729.6%8 W · 19 L-7.0wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-48.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over37c28.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.194,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over43c27.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5812761.4%78 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Over43c27.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6511854.2%64 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…0ebdbacked Under58c25.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6212864.1%82 W · 46 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdafd…2072backed Under59c24.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1c…2bf2backed Under66c20.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.711546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under59c19.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5186653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under56c18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0828352.3%148 W · 135 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.