Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Washington Huskies (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b76f16d26a7c87b73427c6b87cb43fd03e4e8ea579c1353026592371ade691b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Huskiesof Washington Huskies, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Huskies | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,399.94 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 14,869$6,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,988.53 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 52c | 4,678$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.5 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 4,049$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.2 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Washington Huskies | 48c | 2,992$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.71 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 685.96$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 540.25$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.92 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Washington Huskies | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Washington Huskies | 48c | 455.98$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.11 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Washington Huskies | 48c | 302.34$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.21 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…a1f8backed Washington Huskies | 52c | 220.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Washington Huskies | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Washington Huskies | 48c | 183.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Washington Huskies | 52c | 152.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 54c | 137.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Washington Huskies | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Washington Huskies | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Washington Huskies | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Washington Huskies | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 49.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 43.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 52c | 39.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Huskies | 48c | 36.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Washington Huskies | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-4.5)this page
- Washington Huskies vs. Rutgers Scarlet KnightsWashington Huskies won
- Washington Huskies vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 142.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.