UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44ed795e2ee796bba6e2ae3bd7491d28a8eb8d62a5d510d5bc8c9c3bb0c10ee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pinasof Schultz, Pinas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pinas | 70c | 94,923$66,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,613.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Schultz | 30c | 82,343$24,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,702.85 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Pinas | 69c | 50,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,499.99 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Schultz | 31c | 34,709$10,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,759.77 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Schultz | 31c | 28,797$8,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,927.07 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Schultz | 30c | 20,031$6,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,109.33 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Pinas | 69c | 15,880$10,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982.5 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Pinas | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pinas | 70c | 11,429$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.57 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…1205backed Schultz | 0c | 10,890$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Schultz | 31c | 9,000$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Schultz | 31c | 8,493$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.85 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pinas | 70c | 7,880$5,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.33 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Schultz | 30c | 5,826$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pinas | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Schultz | 31c | 4,803$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Schultz | 30c | 3,294$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.79 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Schultz | 30c | 3,289$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.65 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Pinas | 76c | 3,000$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.44 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Pinas | 68c | 2,733$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.41 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Schultz | 33c | 2,424$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Pinas | 70c | 2,372$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.68 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pinas | 70c | 2,365$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.55 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Schultz | 31c | 2,302$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.98 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Schultz | 33c | 2,273$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pinas | 67c | 1,774$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.35 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Schultz | 32c | 1,564$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.48 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Schultz | 31c | 1,154$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.5 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Pinas | 70c | 1,088$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Schultz | 31c | 1,065$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Pinas | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Schultz | 30c | 999.96$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.99 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Schultz | 30c | 897.97$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Schultz | 14c | 880$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Schultz | 25c | 743.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.35 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pinas | 67c | 716.71$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.51 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Schultz | 29c | 654.6$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.02 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Schultz | 30c | 536$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…e8e1backed Pinas | 70c | 502.86$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Schultz | 32c | 480$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Schultz | 31c | 475.65$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Pinas | 71c | 438$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Schultz | 30c | 435$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…34e4backed Schultz | 30c | 434.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pinas | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…3004backed Pinas | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Pinas | 68c | 399.96$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Schultz | 32c | 369$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Schultz | 30c | 359.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Schultz | 28c | 353.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked Schultz | 33c | 351.96$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…1bccbacked Schultz | 31c | 317.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ba…8a7bbacked Schultz | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…d946backed Schultz | 33c | 304.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Schultz | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Pinas | 69c | 293.03$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Pinas | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Schultz | 32c | 276.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Schultz | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Pinas | 69c | 249.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pinas | 69c | 237.66$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Pinas | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Pinas | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Schultz | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Schultz | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Pinas | 68c | 199.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Schultz | 31c | 195.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Pinas | 70c | 178.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Pinas | 69c | 178.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Schultz | 14c | 170.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Pinas | 71c | 170.32$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Schultz | 30c | 167.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…428fbacked Schultz | 33c | 166.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…8c92backed Schultz | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Schultz | 30c | 160$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…770dbacked Schultz | 32c | 159.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Pinas | 70c | 157.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Schultz | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Schultz | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Schultz | 31c | 145$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Schultz | 32c | 143.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Pinas | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Pinas | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…9aa2backed Pinas | 70c | 142.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Schultz | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Pinas | 70c | 128.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Schultz | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…b6c9backed Schultz | 31c | 102.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Schultz | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Schultz | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Schultz | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Schultz | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3b95backed Pinas | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Schultz | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Schultz | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Schultz | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Schultz | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Pinas | 68c | 79.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…946dbacked Pinas | 69c | 72.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…f4e2backed Pinas | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 225 | 68.9%155 W · 70 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.