NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5169c47c60efcdddf6c77b7a9d56c8a8cc2a8735a397444a99eca59097c243aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 52c | 5,250$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 4,237$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.2 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 44c | 3,389$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.16 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 52c | 3,172$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.75 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 56c | 2,381$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.33 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 56c | 1,101$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.44 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 990.99$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.58 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Under | 52c | 877.22$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.07 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 823$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.04 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 48c | 624.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 597.9$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.99 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 249$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 234.28$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 213.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Over | 48c | 183$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 36c | 167.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Under | 51c | 114$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 52c | 71.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a877backed Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 23c | 58.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…0613backed Over | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 54c | 51.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Over | 48c | 51.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 51c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Blackhawks vs. Predators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.