Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Long Beach State Beach vs. Cal Poly Mustangs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0314ee53db7c5d61ead57ca2b22a46116feb8eb4b7774646e2c1320ebdc463f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cal Poly Mustangsof Long Beach State Beach, Cal Poly Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 68c | 11,306$7,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.49 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Long Beach State Beach | 0c | 7,602$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 33c | 3,998$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.36 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 31c | 2,222$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.82 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 1,113$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.83 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 72c | 964.13$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.6 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Long Beach State Beach | 33c | 751.71$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 667.88$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Long Beach State Beach | 31c | 612.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 67c | 568.72$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.97 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Long Beach State Beach | 31c | 551.5$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 496.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 372.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Long Beach State Beach | 33c | 309.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Long Beach State Beach | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Long Beach State Beach | 31c | 293.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 66c | 270.45$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 68c | 254.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Long Beach State Beach | 17c | 229.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 80c | 226.47$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Long Beach State Beach | 31c | 222.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 21c | 200.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Long Beach State Beach | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 199.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 198.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 185.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c53…a22abacked Long Beach State Beach | 20c | 173.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 150.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 68c | 146.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Long Beach State Beach | 31c | 119.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Long Beach State Beach | 31c | 99.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Long Beach State Beach | 38c | 78.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Long Beach State Beach | 24c | 70.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 67c | 67.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Long Beach State Beach | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 72c | 56.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 68c | 56.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 67c | 46.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 69c | 43.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 76c | 42.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Long Beach State Beach | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 34c | 29.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 68c | 29.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 68c | 18.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 68c | 18.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 69c | 14.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Long Beach State Beach vs. Cal Poly Mustangsthis page
- Long Beach State Beach vs. Cal Poly Mustangs: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Cal Poly Mustangs (-4.5)Cal Poly Mustangs won
- Spread: Cal Poly Mustangs (-5.5)Cal Poly Mustangs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.