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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Joseph's Hawksof Saint Joseph's Hawks, St. Bonaventure Bonnies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe9cb…d096backed Saint Joseph's Hawks52c4,196$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.1534943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies54c2,511$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.135,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c2,331$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.263,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks36c2,253$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.3813561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies66c1,152$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.551,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks67c1,091$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.341,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies60c1,059$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.682,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6606342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks34c785$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.14,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Saint Joseph's Hawks35c689.77$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.351,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e3…2e82backed Saint Joseph's Hawks30c657.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.025154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies43c590$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.461,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies65c506.54$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.8292246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies41c490.03$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.522,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies61c484.08$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.2199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies60c437$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.886642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies67c379.82$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.8793247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks45c341.04$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.81,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks34c309$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9450745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1892,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Saint Joseph's Hawks53c286$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4272248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Saint Joseph's Hawks38c280.94$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.235,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks39c271$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.314050%20 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks34c253.26$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.182,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies39c250$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.525337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Saint Joseph's Hawks35c245.73$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.751,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4245351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies65c189.55$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2126254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies64c188$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.321,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies45c165.23$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1470936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Saint Joseph's Hawks80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3052353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.868353%44 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies52c140$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.061,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies45c139.31$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks33c131.4$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.481,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8986…5631backed Saint Joseph's Hawks38c104.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies66c102$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.311,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks36c97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0861244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks50c95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.851,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies66c92.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8337947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies62c84.43$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5912748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks35c72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.83743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.441,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks63c67.3$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7971655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409849%48 W · 50 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies63c64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3284854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Saint Joseph's Hawks35c61.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.125946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Saint Joseph's Hawks65c59.53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8723363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies65c59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3536942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies63c57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9175447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies66c55.61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.744549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbcd…7ab2backed Saint Joseph's Hawks29c55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.051973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+53.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb180…8905backed Saint Joseph's Hawks38c52.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.291323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Saint Joseph's Hawks36c45.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1242339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c2…940fbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks47c42.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.313748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies60c41.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.671,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc2…757cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks38c39.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.391656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Saint Joseph's Hawks34c37.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.011,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Saint Joseph's Hawks49c36.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Saint Joseph's Hawks38c30.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.781,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies63c29.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac53…44adbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks37c27.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+142.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies62c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb34…a600backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.55977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies62c21.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3215066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks72c19.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3314171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3ae9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies66c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.563743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.