Token Launches · resolved market
Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34d865ecfa2dcd8d4f4dcaeea5734d1b02066204baf9d3b9286773574e4c733a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb67…d696backed Yes | 71c | 6,413$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.59 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 28c | 5,098$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.68 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…7251backed Yes | 77c | 2,983$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.37 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked No | 21c | 2,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1549…46f6backed No | 18c | 2,400$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.92 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 1c | 2,195$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 2c | 1,742$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 1,518$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 11c | 1,413$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.46 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…da06backed No | 16c | 1,260$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 18c | 1,208$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.55 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…49aabacked No | 6c | 1,189$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd56…78cabacked Yes | 64c | 1,164$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd1…7c1ebacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked No | 17c | 991.21$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.57 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…b3f4backed No | 27c | 922$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.35 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…579cbacked Yes | 62c | 700$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…3ceebacked No | 38c | 700$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…6cc6backed No | 36c | 611.1$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.42 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 4c | 600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 12c | 599.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked No | 15c | 594.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…d7aebacked No | 39c | 566.11$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…2462backed No | 39c | 551.79$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564e…ceb4backed No | 39c | 548.89$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…41c0backed No | 39c | 547.46$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…4666backed No | 39c | 544.14$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…2546backed No | 40c | 532.58$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…f3bdbacked No | 39c | 529.58$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 12c | 526.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…5bb8backed No | 39c | 522.46$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…1c9cbacked No | 39c | 510.12$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 484.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed No | 8c | 426.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 410.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 21c | 407.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…be0ebacked No | 8c | 399.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…51fdbacked No | 38c | 372.09$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked No | 18c | 359$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed No | 13c | 343.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked Yes | 75c | 343$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…0de9backed No | 12c | 335.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 7c | 326.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f9…efa4backed No | 28c | 325$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 26c | 323.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 26c | 319.05$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…5221backed Yes | 61c | 302.63$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…915abacked Yes | 61c | 302.56$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…365bbacked No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…c6c9backed Yes | 77c | 298.5$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…d36ebacked Yes | 61c | 284.85$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…fc0bbacked Yes | 79c | 281.61$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…6ba9backed Yes | 72c | 281.24$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218a…181bbacked Yes | 61c | 279.76$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…d305backed Yes | 61c | 278.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bf…7159backed Yes | 61c | 275.88$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…e610backed Yes | 61c | 275.02$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd196…2a56backed Yes | 61c | 272.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…606fbacked No | 40c | 271.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…4366backed No | 40c | 271.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…193dbacked No | 40c | 270.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb706…9888backed No | 40c | 269.56$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc43e…56b0backed No | 40c | 269.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…5b8fbacked No | 40c | 269.23$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770d…9458backed No | 40c | 268.32$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…ee16backed No | 40c | 267.52$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…0b94backed No | 40c | 267.31$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7de…9dfcbacked No | 40c | 267.2$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…a880backed No | 40c | 266.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…33c6backed No | 40c | 266.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…312abacked No | 40c | 264.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…e053backed No | 40c | 263.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…be3bbacked No | 40c | 262.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668f…5303backed No | 40c | 262.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b5…ca30backed No | 40c | 261.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…bbc4backed No | 40c | 260.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…6c73backed No | 40c | 259.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256d…026dbacked No | 40c | 258.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…818abacked No | 40c | 258.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…de01backed No | 40c | 257.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f5…7baabacked No | 40c | 257.53$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…7e72backed No | 40c | 257.47$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…bee2backed No | 40c | 257.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…2808backed No | 40c | 257.21$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…faf5backed No | 40c | 256.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9695…46fdbacked No | 40c | 256.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed No | 5c | 256.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4448…90dabacked Yes | 61c | 256.65$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a54…8428backed No | 40c | 256.53$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…e99fbacked No | 40c | 256.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…9009backed No | 40c | 256.45$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…472abacked No | 40c | 256.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…8395backed No | 40c | 256.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…5be1backed No | 40c | 255.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa292…d691backed No | 40c | 255.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…980dbacked No | 40c | 255.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…e5babacked No | 40c | 255.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…2fb8backed No | 40c | 255.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65bd…fdc1backed No | 40c | 255.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?this page
- Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- Mezo FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Mezo FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Mezo FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Mezo FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- Mezo FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- Mezo FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Mezo FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.