Macro Indicators · resolved market
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427bc4b40c09b3dcbc973747f0e4b079bed91b3e5a0aed5c36edd0f7591485f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed No | 0c | 3,512$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6699…6ee8backed No | 1c | 3,088$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 39c | 2,780$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1afb…bc76backed No | 1c | 2,630$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,236$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99d…11d8backed No | 4c | 2,114$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6a…cacfbacked No | 1c | 2,065$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…9775backed No | 1c | 2,044$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…4003backed Yes | 77c | 2,008$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 23c | 1,997$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4b…d7e2backed No | 4c | 1,763$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 5c | 1,724$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6085…4880backed No | 3c | 1,710$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…886dbacked No | 1c | 1,642$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 62c | 1,434$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1a…7dcabacked No | 3c | 1,428$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9407…21f5backed No | 4c | 1,252$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…4ec8backed No | 3c | 1,230$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…f30bbacked No | 5c | 1,180$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…93babacked No | 3c | 1,121$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 30c | 975.23$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8998…bd4ebacked No | 1c | 894$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…6dfbbacked No | 4c | 885.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 4c | 868.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +173.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…4343backed No | 13c | 827$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b3…d71dbacked No | 4c | 811$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…f289backed No | 2c | 802$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 68c | 792.64$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.53 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…7a9dbacked No | 15c | 741$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1924…90bbbacked No | 15c | 741$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…74b9backed No | 15c | 741$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…782fbacked No | 15c | 741$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…a8d0backed No | 15c | 741$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…57e2backed No | 15c | 741$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ced…ac2cbacked No | 15c | 741$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…1e8abacked No | 15c | 741$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…c853backed No | 15c | 738.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707c…2cbcbacked No | 14c | 734$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…c94bbacked No | 14c | 734$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…adc7backed No | 2c | 711$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…0834backed No | 4c | 704$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 33c | 693.71$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413e…ededbacked No | 3c | 673$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 4c | 512$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 501.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 45c | 480.95$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…0f1ebacked No | 19c | 430.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78a…cd4bbacked No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 7c | 379.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8109…2153backed No | 9c | 374.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…afc4backed No | 6c | 338.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…9ff3backed No | 5c | 332$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 7c | 324.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 52c | 319.35$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 32c | 315$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 23c | 286.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 43c | 283.77$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 18c | 279.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.05 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 257.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 33c | 200.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 53c | 196.49$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…d520backed No | 18c | 190.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed No | 53c | 161.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 24c | 145.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +319.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 45c | 135.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 12c | 130$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed No | 15c | 129$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 33c | 125.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…93a4backed Yes | 57c | 114.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9076backed Yes | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 38c | 105$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…41e3backed No | 60c | 101$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes | 40c | 101$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 66c | 88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 43c | 85.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 36c | 82.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked Yes | 58c | 78.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…1374backed Yes | 30c | 73.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 41c | 71.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc4…bb77backed Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 77c | 67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…c688backed No | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 23c | 65.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…7b8fbacked Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…6b74backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3140…76d9backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…bf22backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba9…1eaebacked Yes | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed No | 47c | 44.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…d920backed No | 49c | 40.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ce…f071backed No | 56c | 35.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 37c | 35.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 64c | 20.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfab2…9490backed Yes | 79c | 19.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.