Boxing · resolved market
Will Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis be decided any other way?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cf8033072fff865735169fed033b9a1887ae91c9667e6396602f61a74e6bc76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 74c | 1,657$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.57 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 44c | 1,281$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 16c | 990.24$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.91 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 75c | 907.28$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 52c | 681.35$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 58c | 610$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.25 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16a…a823backed No | 47c | 585.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 56c | 487$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…d8d0backed Yes | 64c | 392.72$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 80c | 290$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 7c | 190.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +184.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 55c | 137.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…f793backed Yes | 61c | 118$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 54c | 109.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 55c | 98.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked No | 55c | 54.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 75c | 53.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 49c | 48.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis be decided any other way?this page
- Will Gervonta Davis win by KO/TKO?No won
- Will Gervonta Davis win by Points or Decision?No won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis end in a draw?No won
- Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO?No won
- Will Jake Paul win by Points or Decision?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.