College Football · resolved market
Spread: Tulane (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a131b64fa4a1a128501b58417c888b854e1ed020626cfd1b5e0af3fac70893b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulaneof Tulane, East Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tulane | 50c | 88,565$44,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,219.46 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked East Carolina | 50c | 70,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked East Carolina | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Tulane | 54c | 7,895$4,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.58 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked East Carolina | 49c | 6,300$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked East Carolina | 46c | 5,112$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.52 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed East Carolina | 46c | 2,941$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.18 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Tulane | 53c | 230.58$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed East Carolina | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed East Carolina | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Tulane | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked East Carolina | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Tulane | 50c | 127.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked East Carolina | 49c | 99.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked East Carolina | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…a079backed Tulane | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked East Carolina | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Tulane | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Tulane | 53c | 33.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed East Carolina | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked East Carolina | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tulane | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…9e59backed East Carolina | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tulane (-6.5)this page
- East Carolina vs. TulaneTulane won
- East Carolina vs. Tulane: O/U 52.5Under won
- East Carolina vs. Tulane: O/U 53.5Under won
- O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: Tulane (-7.5)East Carolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.