CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ca33af5dd1f978947bdd9eebcd775cbb89c966dc543437e61d4909be8a89b6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof FUT Esports, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FUT Esports | 2c | 2,841$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heroic | 71c | 1,767$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.9 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 1,450$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.99 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports | 34c | 999.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic | 47c | 604.45$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.36 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed FUT Esports | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed FUT Esports | 52c | 580.51$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.87 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed FUT Esports | 50c | 564$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Heroic | 48c | 500$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed Heroic | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Heroic | 75c | 419.86$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Heroic | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Heroic | 48c | 416.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FUT Esports | 52c | 324.17$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.57 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Heroic | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Heroic | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Heroic | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Heroic | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Heroic | 48c | 170$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Heroic | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Heroic | 48c | 122.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9395…38edbacked FUT Esports | 30c | 107.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed FUT Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FUT Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Heroic | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Heroic | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed FUT Esports | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked FUT Esports | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…01a9backed Heroic | 73c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.