CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf4f00db7c3e48db05fbf75ae035bfc13d052a57fd45def2c6c5a9798ed58a3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof Passion UA, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Passion UA | 43c | 5,603$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.06 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked paiN | 58c | 5,363$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.82 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked paiN | 56c | 3,576$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.98 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Passion UA | 42c | 3,452$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.2 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Passion UA | 47c | 3,229$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 67c | 2,531$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.24 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN | 66c | 2,311$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.82 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked paiN | 68c | 1,900$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked paiN | 60c | 1,861$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Passion UA | 32c | 1,697$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.54 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Passion UA | 25c | 1,648$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.34 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Passion UA | 43c | 1,648$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.52 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Passion UA | 41c | 1,234$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.89 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Passion UA | 28c | 1,171$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.01 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Passion UA | 23c | 1,097$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.54 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Passion UA | 41c | 1,044$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.19 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked paiN | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed paiN | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed paiN | 58c | 968$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.32 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Passion UA | 15c | 873.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed Passion UA | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Passion UA | 44c | 820$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed Passion UA | 35c | 771.74$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.59 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked paiN | 59c | 672.85$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.87 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Passion UA | 15c | 499.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…1a27backed Passion UA | 23c | 494.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Passion UA | 7c | 393.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked paiN | 65c | 283.08$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed paiN | 59c | 269$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed paiN | 73c | 240.79$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Passion UA | 25c | 240.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed Passion UA | 43c | 239$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Passion UA | 9c | 231.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed paiN | 59c | 226.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…faecbacked paiN | 74c | 202.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…cf52backed Passion UA | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…a6f6backed Passion UA | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed paiN | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Passion UA | 42c | 186.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…7683backed Passion UA | 26c | 185$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked paiN | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed paiN | 58c | 170.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…e547backed Passion UA | 44c | 166.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.35per pick | 43cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…39f9backed Passion UA | 26c | 156.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed paiN | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe313…dbd1backed Passion UA | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed Passion UA | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Passion UA | 42c | 140$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…9ec4backed paiN | 64c | 139.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcca…64f6backed Passion UA | 22c | 138.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…c701backed Passion UA | 43c | 133$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Passion UA | 14c | 128$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Passion UA | 29c | 119.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Passion UA | 56c | 108.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked paiN | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…706bbacked paiN | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…1996backed paiN | 74c | 97.01$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…e5d3backed Passion UA | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Passion UA | 36c | 83.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Passion UA | 41c | 81.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed paiN | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked paiN | 53c | 74.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…1604backed Passion UA | 18c | 61.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed paiN | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Passion UA | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…02c6backed Passion UA | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Passion UA | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked paiN | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked paiN | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338f…dd63backed paiN | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Passion UA | 45c | 39.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…4fe6backed Passion UA | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…67cdbacked paiN | 65c | 32.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…9b1cbacked paiN | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…5d0cbacked paiN | 59c | 29.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3)paiN won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.