TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof Passion UA, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa925…e1c8backed Passion UA51c44,954$23,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,122.128446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed paiN49c13,258$6,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,817.5945848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked paiN48c12,919$6,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,663.353767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Passion UA19c8,518$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.0481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde92…5e10backed paiN49c8,418$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2931258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked paiN49c7,600$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.813050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Passion UA51c6,851$3,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,489.9133043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN49c6,259$3,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,201.031,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3d…5d4cbacked paiN48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked paiN51c4,622$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.5760953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Passion UA30c3,978$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.523,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed paiN50c3,817$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,91546949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…7f58backed paiN47c3,604$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.013531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed paiN51c2,102$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.252147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked paiN63c2,074$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.7516448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed paiN52c2,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.0657647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked paiN50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Passion UA49c1,960$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Passion UA63c1,582$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.3811443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Passion UA52c1,528$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN49c1,510$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.11,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b9…1a27backed paiN57c1,140$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Passion UA51c1,113$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.4511558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked Passion UA34c1,087$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.718342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked paiN67c1,045$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.7811353.1%60 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked paiN49c1,039$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.4960147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Passion UA63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63018051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed paiN50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50011440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x235e…da5abacked paiN45c955.71$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed paiN47c850$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.47455.4%41 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed paiN66c802.21$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.7519247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed paiN64c731.18$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.471,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Passion UA45c670.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b1c7backed Passion UA51c637.67$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.214551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed paiN50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Passion UA40c598.82$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.964,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Passion UA13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed Passion UA28c500$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.39631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2af2…3965backed Passion UA64c472.81$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed paiN51c452$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1713740.9%56 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed paiN51c444.39$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.757955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed paiN54c401.96$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9620050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe944…0837backed paiN45c400$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.53438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked paiN50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20098052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Passion UA23c386.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.71,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked Passion UA50c344.34$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.177552%39 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x364e…1996backed paiN50c341.65$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.325754.4%31 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed paiN79c338.03$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed paiN55c304.84$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6535344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2615…6c59backed Passion UA27c299.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.99230%0 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Passion UA61c297.9$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18335550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd7…9ec4backed paiN51c274.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.925339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed paiN54c269$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7458961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Passion UA7c256$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.991,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Passion UA34c220.32$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.911,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed paiN49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0845455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f3…e5d3backed paiN49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked paiN60c201$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.412153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Passion UA34c200.01$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6710055%55 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed paiN72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.11758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed paiN51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.086861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked paiN51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.089252.2%48 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Passion UA52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9a…cf52backed Passion UA37c188.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702540%10 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x644e…ff58backed Passion UA55c170$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.35147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3c…7f7cbacked Passion UA15c156.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0240%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed paiN49c155.02$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.069050%45 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed paiN49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0622254.5%121 W · 101 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcc…25e1backed paiN67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.256764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed paiN49c138$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.385747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed paiN44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.648446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked paiN55c110$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010450%52 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked paiN48c107.69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5620855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed paiN77c105.06$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.322365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked paiN49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513748.6%18 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed paiN44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5611238.4%43 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a18…93d2backed paiN69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed paiN33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcb…7089backed paiN60c99.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.641060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7db…35bdbacked paiN51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.043339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Passion UA63c91.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5768753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcca…64f6backed paiN35c81.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.851330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b7d4backed Passion UA51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.83154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Passion UA51c78.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9329350.2%147 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked paiN51c71.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8766753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cd4…a6f6backed Passion UA36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-80.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a9a…2df3backed paiN65c68.02$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Passion UA24c67.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.422,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Passion UA48c65.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4414233.8%48 W · 94 L-18.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3b8d…00b4backed paiN67c65.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.553271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b3…67cdbacked paiN51c63.78$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.252050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed paiN46c60.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.899843.9%43 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed paiN50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3037448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34b7…36e8backed Passion UA50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked paiN67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.542149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b8…02c6backed Passion UA52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe4…706bbacked paiN49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick37cpaid+79.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x77ed…b5eebacked paiN71c44.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.691361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed paiN49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.824042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc40…eddbbacked Passion UA52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.