Olympics · resolved market
Olympic Basketball: Germany vs. France
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x280754679d84d0e3dad18c0d981a556f2de78ee23e85c540cd8236e32824d607
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franceof Germany, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Germany | 71c | 17,394$12,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,432.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…10fdbacked France | 39c | 12,506$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,587.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Germany | 60c | 11,189$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,675.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…d9bdbacked France | 44c | 7,893$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked France | 43c | 7,156$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.45 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Germany | 27c | 6,187$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked France | 18c | 4,994$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,095.09 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed France | 45c | 3,300$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a694backed France | 37c | 3,262$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…41dfbacked Germany | 66c | 3,228$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…2d44backed France | 39c | 3,088$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed France | 41c | 2,790$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked France | 37c | 2,003$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed France | 34c | 1,754$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…197cbacked Germany | 58c | 1,709$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.69 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…1708backed Germany | 2c | 1,579$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked France | 49c | 1,447$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Germany | 63c | 1,250$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Germany | 16c | 1,146$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.28 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Germany | 63c | 923.58$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.93 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked France | 40c | 837.56$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Germany | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…ae50backed France | 65c | 735.58$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…cfc7backed Germany | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Germany | 55c | 692.54$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Germany | 63c | 675.45$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.73 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Germany | 65c | 615.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Germany | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed France | 35c | 497.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed France | 71c | 489.69$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +195.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Germany | 62c | 333.1$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.86 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Germany | 67c | 309.01$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…e7c7backed Germany | 65c | 307.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Germany | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked France | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…c3d4backed Germany | 65c | 289.66$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.38 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Germany | 8c | 285$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce84…304cbacked France | 73c | 274.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Germany | 16c | 260.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed France | 60c | 251.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d96…91f6backed Germany | 57c | 233.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Germany | 60c | 221.45$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked Germany | 68c | 220.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…160abacked Germany | 61c | 205.4$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f24…513ebacked France | 30c | 200$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99ca…f9e6backed France | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…dcf4backed Germany | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Germany | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…36bebacked France | 40c | 178.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6359…f32fbacked France | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed France | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…682dbacked Germany | 8c | 165.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd465…0ab4backed Germany | 64c | 164.74$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18b…3aedbacked Germany | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…94ddbacked France | 78c | 144.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3736…243fbacked Germany | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa39…d95bbacked Germany | 78c | 124.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked France | 37c | 107.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed France | 35c | 105.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3a…f5d5backed Germany | 67c | 105.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed France | 30c | 101$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e60…4347backed France | 33c | 100.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed France | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed France | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…12debacked Germany | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a4…199fbacked France | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed France | 32c | 95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked France | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Germany | 33c | 85.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked France | 36c | 82.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…6a28backed Germany | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…9f96backed Germany | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked France | 36c | 71.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +182.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed France | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed France | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…7a04backed France | 67c | 63.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked France | 38c | 62.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…8911backed France | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…d47cbacked France | 29c | 57.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7338…1483backed France | 35c | 55.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…91a1backed Germany | 70c | 54.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…64c4backed Germany | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…27fdbacked Germany | 67c | 48.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef97…c23fbacked Germany | 67c | 42.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Germany | 67c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Germany | 59c | 36.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…bad6backed France | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Germany | 64c | 34.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…e77abacked France | 37c | 32.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed France | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed France | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.