CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Liquid (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd8cd7c2b99bc51e10d0e7550125fa9f09e09e0161ecc8ca865445d0cd000de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Legacy, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Legacy | 43c | 31,044$13,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,338.8 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Liquid | 58c | 22,933$13,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,680 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Liquid | 59c | 9,962$5,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.26 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Liquid | 57c | 7,521$4,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.03 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Legacy | 41c | 5,047$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.64 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Legacy | 48c | 3,000$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.33 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Legacy | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Legacy | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Legacy | 47c | 1,492$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.11 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…41a7backed Liquid | 43c | 1,374$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.46 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Legacy | 41c | 907.11$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.86 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Liquid | 61c | 870$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.3 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Liquid | 70c | 850.04$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.37 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Liquid | 51c | 707.43$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.56 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Liquid | 51c | 698.02$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.43 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Liquid | 58c | 687.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed Liquid | 40c | 617.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.36 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Liquid | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Liquid | 71c | 446.94$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.44 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8483…7858backed Liquid | 56c | 412.1$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legacy | 44c | 381$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Legacy | 39c | 350.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Liquid | 59c | 346$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Legacy | 41c | 339.19$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Legacy | 47c | 333$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Liquid | 59c | 307.42$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…81f3backed Legacy | 74c | 299.72$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.79 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…48a7backed Legacy | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Legacy | 41c | 278.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Liquid | 60c | 251.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…5ca3backed Legacy | 46c | 218.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Legacy | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Legacy | 42c | 189.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Legacy | 44c | 168.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Legacy | 41c | 152$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Liquid | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Legacy | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Legacy | 39c | 148.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Legacy | 24c | 142.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Liquid | 76c | 131.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Liquid | 43c | 130.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Legacy | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked Liquid | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1b…45cabacked Liquid | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Legacy | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Liquid | 31c | 101.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Liquid | 59c | 101$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8203…0187backed Liquid | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Liquid | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Liquid | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Liquid | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…3987backed Legacy | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…cb5cbacked Liquid | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…ec37backed Liquid | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Legacy | 48c | 83.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Legacy | 37c | 80.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Liquid | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Liquid | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Legacy | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Liquid | 59c | 53.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Legacy | 47c | 44.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Legacy | 45c | 44.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Legacy | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…ee04backed Legacy | 46c | 43.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Liquid | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Legacy | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed Liquid | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Liquid | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Liquid | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Liquid | 60c | 24.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Liquid | 57c | 22.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Legacy | 64c | 20.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5972…6880backed Liquid | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.